TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14121012911711––
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 57.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 4–11 Roman Konkulovskyi Myroslav Loboda has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Konkulovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Konkulovskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1734 vs Konkulovskyi 1686
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Konkulovskyi 60%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 80% vs Konkulovskyi 60%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Konkulovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Konkulovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 2.25 / Konkulovskyi 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13160670
Loboda2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 84 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Konkulovskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 75 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda3wins
AwayKonkulovskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda75%3 of 4
AwayKonkulovskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda4Konkulovskyi6n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Loboda5Konkulovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Loboda7Konkulovskyi3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Loboda1Konkulovskyi5n = 6Konkulovskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaKonkulovskyiL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.8+3.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 948 vs 347 / 70351.8%49.4%491 / 948 vs 347 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiLoboda 2.25/Konkulovskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 24:15M. Loboda331111113R. Konkulovskyi155640
LSep 8 · 02:30M. Loboda311010110R. Konkulovskyi371212133
LAug 17 · 24:15M. Loboda398121181R. Konkulovskyi4411148113
LAug 3 · 02:15M. Loboda391091191R. Konkulovskyi4212118113
WJul 27 · 02:15M. Loboda331111113R. Konkulovskyi163580
LJul 19 · 22:45M. Loboda389101181R. Konkulovskyi3911125113
WJul 19 · 02:15M. Loboda331111113R. Konkulovskyi114250
LJun 1 · 22:45M. Loboda34115991R. Konkulovskyi3741111113
LMay 31 · 22:45M. Loboda46711121062R. Konkulovskyi521181012113
LFeb 27 · 21:15M. Loboda49101181192R. Konkulovskyi45125116113
M. Loboda10
WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182LSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381
R. Konkulovskyi10
WSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 20 · 02:15A. Romanenko1.501281011133R. Konkulovskyi2.501011125112WSep 20 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.101113143I. Sukovatyi1.67511120WSep 20 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.918111110113V. Krokhmal1.8011741282LSep 19 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.677260B. Chaikovskyi2.101111113WSep 19 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.25112119113O. Pohonov1.5751161182LSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540LSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 16 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.00811115113V. Krokhmal1.7311461152WSep 15 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi1.61119116133B. Chaikovskyi2.20511811112
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