TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114711118411611
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 57.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 5–2 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1730 vs Rodin 1661
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 60% vs Rodin 20%
Loboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 70% vs Rodin 50%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Rodin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.67 / Rodin 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Loboda)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13160821
Loboda1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it91% 95 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it74% 131 of 176
Rodin2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 30 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayRodin2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderLoboda leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda80%4 of 5
AwayRodinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda5Rodin2n = 7Loboda took 5 of 7
S2Loboda4Rodin3n = 7Loboda took 4 of 7
S3Loboda2Rodin5n = 7Rodin took 5 of 7
S4Loboda4Rodin2n = 6Loboda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricLobodaRodinL − RBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match36.933.0+3.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 950 vs 189 / 31951.8%59.3%492 / 950 vs 189 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.67/Rodin 2.10
Miss
What we said
57.8%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda48111177123O. Rodin42551111102
WSep 17 · 02:00M. Loboda3711114113O. Rodin22261131
LSep 6 · 14:05M. Loboda33138571O. Rodin44111111113
WSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda3821411113O. Rodin321112631
WAug 28 · 08:35M. Loboda4211911113O. Rodin27411481
WAug 27 · 16:05M. Loboda3911125113O. Rodin314101161
LAug 27 · 24:00M. Loboda216780O. Rodin331111113
M. Loboda10
LSep 21 · 02:00Y. Vorsuliak2.7581512113M. Loboda1.4011131091WSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281LSep 20 · 22:30M. Loboda2.251410971R. Konkulovskyi1.57121211113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182LSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121
O. Rodin10
LSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232WSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050LSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110WSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113WSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871
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