TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10126111151412113
Oleksii Rodin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 95 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 11–9 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1617 vs Rodin 1673
Rodin
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 20% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 20% vs Rodin 60%
Rodin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak -2 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.91 / Rodin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13160585
Vorsuliak1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 72 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Rodin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 146 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it79% 100 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak6wins
AwayRodin4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak80%4 of 5
AwayRodin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorsuliak5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorsuliak5Rodin4n = 9Vorsuliak took 5 of 9
S4Vorsuliak4Rodin4n = 8split evenly
S5Vorsuliak3Rodin1n = 4Vorsuliak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakRodinV − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.2−0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 891 vs 189 / 31850.3%59.4%448 / 891 vs 189 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinVorsuliak 1.91/Rodin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 17 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak43211711123O. Rodin48118118102
LSep 16 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak25311831O. Rodin4211911113
WSep 14 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak50111189113O. Rodin3881111172
LSep 7 · 08:35Y. Vorsuliak357611111O. Rodin3911114133
WSep 3 · 14:05Y. Vorsuliak43371111113O. Rodin4511119862
LAug 30 · 12:05Y. Vorsuliak334811101O. Rodin4111117123
LAug 28 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak4712871192O. Rodin491011116113
WAug 27 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak341112113O. Rodin1951040
WAug 27 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak4011711113O. Rodin32811851
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 20 · 21:30Y. Vorsuliak2.50117100V. Slozka1.501311123LSep 20 · 20:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91711691V. Krokhmal1.8011511113WSep 18 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2558110Y. Vorsuliak1.571111133LSep 18 · 10:05V. Slozka1.571111113Y. Vorsuliak2.256450LSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870LSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3851070V. Slozka1.531112113LSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371
O. Rodin10
WSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050LSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.8381111113O. Rodin1.83116961LSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110WSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113WSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871WSep 16 · 23:00O. Rodin1.9111911113Y. Vorsuliak1.80311831
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