TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81115131210119––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 89 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 67.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 43–70 Myroslav Loboda Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 43 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-70 in 113
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 27 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1621 vs Loboda 1717
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 40% vs Loboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 30% vs Loboda 60%
Loboda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak -1 · Loboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 2.75 / Loboda 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Loboda)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13160727
Vorsuliak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 72 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Loboda1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 159 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it91% 95 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it74% 131 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak2wins
AwayLoboda8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Vorsuliak5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorsuliak3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S4Vorsuliak3Loboda5n = 8Loboda took 5 of 8
S5Vorsuliak1Loboda2n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakLobodaV − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.540.4−4.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 891 vs 492 / 95150.3%51.7%448 / 891 vs 492 / 951Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaVorsuliak 2.75/Loboda 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak29311691M. Loboda3611311113
WSep 17 · 01:00Y. Vorsuliak44111111113M. Loboda31741371
LSep 11 · 08:35Y. Vorsuliak29631191M. Loboda3711114113
LSep 10 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak346111161M. Loboda4311138113
LSep 10 · 01:00Y. Vorsuliak51811814102M. Loboda541181112123
LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak4411611882M. Loboda44811311113
LSep 4 · 09:35Y. Vorsuliak407166111M. Loboda49111411133
LSep 3 · 16:05Y. Vorsuliak1741030M. Loboda341112113
WSep 3 · 24:00Y. Vorsuliak49811811113M. Loboda4311811672
LAug 28 · 05:05Y. Vorsuliak188640M. Loboda331111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 21 · 24:30Y. Vorsuliak2.75109111172R. Konkulovskyi1.40121129113WSep 20 · 23:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911061114113O. Rodin1.80121151232LSep 20 · 21:30Y. Vorsuliak2.50117100V. Slozka1.501311123LSep 20 · 20:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91711691V. Krokhmal1.8011511113WSep 18 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2558110Y. Vorsuliak1.571111133LSep 18 · 10:05V. Slozka1.571111113Y. Vorsuliak2.256450LSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870LSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123
M. Loboda10
LSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113WSep 21 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111110113V. Krokhmal1.83391281LSep 20 · 22:30M. Loboda2.251410971R. Konkulovskyi1.57121211113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182LSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.