TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155454
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911116911711
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 54.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 23–19 Oleksandr Kolos Oleksandr Kolos has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-19 in 42
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 991 vs Kolos 1143
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Kolos 0%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Kolos 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -3 · Kolos -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.83 / Kolos 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155454
Priadko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kolos1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko6wins
AwayKolos4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKolos75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Kolos4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko4Kolos6n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Priadko6Kolos4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S4Priadko5Kolos2n = 7Priadko took 5 of 7
S5Priadko2Kolos2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoKolosP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.7+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 238 vs 150 / 28847.5%52.1%113 / 238 vs 150 / 288Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.83/Kolos 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko4514711133O. Kolos4012116111
LAug 24 · 17:43Y. Priadko47126101182O. Kolos521011128113
WAug 24 · 16:30Y. Priadko55811813153O. Kolos551191111132
WAug 15 · 05:30Y. Priadko44111110123O. Kolos389712101
WJul 11 · 04:30Y. Priadko331111113O. Kolos238690
LJul 4 · 05:00Y. Priadko4075111162O. Kolos40111125113
LJul 1 · 15:30Y. Priadko399101191O. Kolos4211128113
WJun 27 · 09:30Y. Priadko331111113O. Kolos194780
LJun 20 · 07:00Y. Priadko2411670O. Kolos351311113
WJun 6 · 10:30Y. Priadko521161113113O. Kolos4361131582
Y. Priadko10
LSep 19 · 05:00Y. Priadko1.50118781V. Klymenko2.5071111113LSep 14 · 17:19D. Aldayev1.91711711113Y. Priadko1.8011911942LSep 14 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.36511631V. Klymenko3.0011411113WSep 14 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.5711115113D. Aldayev2.25641161LSep 14 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.5081160V. Ivnytskyi2.501113113WSep 14 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.08118118113M. Bukata7.0031151172LSep 7 · 16:59D. Aldayev4.0012118113Y. Priadko1.221091191LSep 7 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.28841271V. Klymenko3.50111110113LSep 7 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401081171V. Ivnytskyi2.7512119113WSep 7 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.281111113D. Aldayev3.506570
O. Kolos10
WSep 19 · 08:00O. Kolos1.401112113V. Klymenko2.7561050LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113LSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123
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