TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13156260
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210115––––
Vitalii Klymenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 69.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 29–16 Vitalii Klymenko Vitalii Klymenko has won 16 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-16 in 45
Kolos
Correct
gap of 13 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1150 vs Klymenko 967
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 20% vs Klymenko 40%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 50% vs Klymenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Klymenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.40 / Klymenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Kolos)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13156260
Kolos1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 47 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Klymenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 27 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos8wins
AwayKlymenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos85.7%6 of 7
AwayKlymenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos7Klymenko3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Kolos6Klymenko4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos7Klymenko3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S4Kolos3Klymenko4n = 7Klymenko took 4 of 7
S5Kolos3Klymenko0n = 3Kolos took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosKlymenkoKolos − KlymenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.2+5.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 289 vs 91 / 23852.3%38.2%151 / 289 vs 91 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.40/Klymenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 09:00O. Kolos3711411113V. Klymenko36811981
LAug 10 · 12:30O. Kolos34117881V. Klymenko4291111113
LAug 3 · 17:39O. Kolos38981291V. Klymenko43111110113
WAug 3 · 13:30O. Kolos45711115113V. Klymenko3611261162
WAug 1 · 04:30O. Kolos41811110113V. Klymenko4211761172
WJul 11 · 11:00O. Kolos50119811113V. Klymenko4271111942
WJul 6 · 12:30O. Kolos351113113V. Klymenko2461170
WJul 4 · 06:00O. Kolos4011117113V. Klymenko24351151
WJun 20 · 10:30O. Kolos331111113V. Klymenko227690
WJun 13 · 10:30O. Kolos331111113V. Klymenko218670
O. Kolos10
WSep 19 · 07:00Y. Priadko1.8311911972O. Kolos1.83911611113LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113LSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123
V. Klymenko10
LSep 19 · 06:00D. Aldayev2.1011311113V. Klymenko1.67611211WSep 19 · 05:00Y. Priadko1.50118781V. Klymenko2.5071111113LSep 14 · 17:38V. Ivnytskyi2.0012114113V. Klymenko1.731061161WSep 14 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.36511631V. Klymenko3.0011411113LSep 14 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.537630V. Ivnytskyi2.381111113WSep 14 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.67111116113D. Aldayev2.107131441WSep 14 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.131111113M. Bukata5.507630LSep 7 · 17:29V. Ivnytskyi2.751213711113V. Klymenko1.40141111682WSep 7 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.28841271V. Klymenko3.50111110113WSep 7 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.911111113D. Aldayev1.809460
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