TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126724
Played Sep 14Finished
Vitalii Klymenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11711131614114––
Denis Aldayev
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeVitalii Klymenko to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 87 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vitalii Klymenko at 59.4%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 18–18 Denis Aldayev Dead even across their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-18 in 36
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 980 vs Aldayev 940
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 80% vs Aldayev 60%
Klymenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Aldayev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Aldayev +3
Aldayev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aldayev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.67 / Aldayev 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Klymenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126724
Klymenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 20 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Aldayev2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog22% won 11 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko7wins
AwayAldayev3wins
Klymenko leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%7 of 7
AwayAldayev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko7Aldayev3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko5Aldayev5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko7Aldayev3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko3Aldayev1n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoAldayevK − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.730.9+2.8per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 239 vs 95 / 22938.5%41.5%92 / 239 vs 95 / 229Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.67/Aldayev 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:00V. Klymenko331111113D. Aldayev199460
LAug 31 · 17:03V. Klymenko30821191D. Aldayev4211119113
LAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko32141080D. Aldayev391612113
WAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko341111123D. Aldayev2679100
WAug 15 · 04:30V. Klymenko4111811113D. Aldayev34611891
LJul 18 · 10:30V. Klymenko154740D. Aldayev331111113
WJul 13 · 12:30V. Klymenko3911116113D. Aldayev33971161
WJul 11 · 05:30V. Klymenko331111113D. Aldayev188640
WJul 6 · 14:00V. Klymenko44121011113D. Aldayev351012941
WJul 4 · 09:00V. Klymenko361114113D. Aldayev3091290
V. Klymenko10
WSep 14 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.131111113M. Bukata5.507630LSep 7 · 17:29V. Ivnytskyi2.751213711113V. Klymenko1.40141111682WSep 7 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.28841271V. Klymenko3.50111110113WSep 7 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.911111113D. Aldayev1.809460WSep 7 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.171111113M. Bukata4.506930LAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101LAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113WAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980
D. Aldayev10
WSep 14 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.4081111113M. Bukata2.75118891WSep 14 · 12:30D. Aldayev2.001111113V. Ivnytskyi1.734530WSep 7 · 16:59D. Aldayev4.0012118113Y. Priadko1.221091191WSep 7 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.3012111311123M. Bukata3.40148158102LSep 7 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.911111113D. Aldayev1.809460LSep 7 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.281111113D. Aldayev3.506570LSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113
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