TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126435
Played Sep 14Finished
Denis Aldayev
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115113––––
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 45 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 57.7%
45 points played in total.
H2H Denis Aldayev 3–6 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Denis Aldayev has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:42What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Aldayev 924 vs Ivnytskyi 986
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Aldayev 40% vs Ivnytskyi 100%
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Aldayev 40% vs Ivnytskyi 80%
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Aldayev +2 · Ivnytskyi +5
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Ivnytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivnytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAldayev 2.00 / Ivnytskyi 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126435
Aldayev2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog22% won 11 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Ivnytskyi1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAldayev3wins
AwayIvnytskyi6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderIvnytskyi leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAldayev50%2 of 4
AwayIvnytskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Aldayev4Ivnytskyi5n = 9Ivnytskyi took 5 of 9
S2Aldayev4Ivnytskyi5n = 9Ivnytskyi took 5 of 9
S3Aldayev6Ivnytskyi3n = 9Aldayev took 6 of 9
S4Aldayev2Ivnytskyi4n = 6Ivnytskyi took 4 of 6
S5Aldayev1Ivnytskyi3n = 4Ivnytskyi took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricAldayevIvnytskyiA − IBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.339.30.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAldayevIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 228 vs 29 / 9041.2%32.2%94 / 228 vs 29 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiAldayev 2.00/Ivnytskyi 1.73
Miss
What we said
57.7%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Aldayev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 12:30D. Aldayev32911841V. Ivnytskyi4011711113
LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev5112991292V. Ivnytskyi5310111110113
LAug 17 · 16:00D. Aldayev208840V. Ivnytskyi331111113
LJul 18 · 08:30D. Aldayev356151131V. Ivnytskyi4111172113
WJul 6 · 16:30D. Aldayev331111113V. Ivnytskyi157440
WApr 18 · 10:00D. Aldayev46711115123V. Ivnytskyi45117611102
LMar 20 · 13:30D. Aldayev521111118112V. Ivnytskyi55913911133
LFeb 14 · 08:30D. Aldayev5299111762V. Ivnytskyi531111515113
WJan 24 · 11:30D. Aldayev331111113V. Ivnytskyi195950
D. Aldayev10
WSep 7 · 16:59D. Aldayev4.0012118113Y. Priadko1.221091191WSep 7 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.3012111311123M. Bukata3.40148158102LSep 7 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.911111113D. Aldayev1.809460LSep 7 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.281111113D. Aldayev3.506570LSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113
V. Ivnytskyi10
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Ivnytskyi2.751213711113V. Klymenko1.40141111682WSep 7 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401081171V. Ivnytskyi2.7512119113WSep 7 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi1.361110511113M. Bukata3.0061211662WSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133
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