TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089234
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161012511116116
Maksym Bukata
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 71.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 4–1 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ivnytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Ivnytskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 956 vs Bukata 817
Ivnytskyi
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 80% vs Bukata 20%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 70% vs Bukata 20%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +4 · Bukata -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Ivnytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bukata form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 1.36 / Bukata 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13089234
Ivnytskyi1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bukata3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 9 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi4wins
AwayBukata1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderIvnytskyi leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi100%4 of 4
AwayBukatan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi4Bukata1n = 5Ivnytskyi took 4 of 5
S2Ivnytskyi2Bukata3n = 5Bukata took 3 of 5
S3Ivnytskyi3Bukata2n = 5Ivnytskyi took 3 of 5
S4Ivnytskyi3Bukata1n = 4Ivnytskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiBukataI − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.234.4+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 88 vs 13 / 7430.7%17.6%27 / 88 vs 13 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.51.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.030.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiIvnytskyi 1.36/Bukata 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 7 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi—1110511113M. Bukata—61211662
WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi—13611113M. Bukata—1111891
LAug 17 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi—7118101M. Bukata—11811123
WAug 3 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi—1111113M. Bukata—2880
WJun 13 · 06:30V. Ivnytskyi—12911113M. Bukata—1011831
V. Ivnytskyi10
WSep 7 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401081171V. Ivnytskyi2.7512119113WSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252
M. Bukata10
LSep 7 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.06115811143M. Bukata8.00711115122LSep 7 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.171111113M. Bukata4.506930LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660
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