TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088892
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811119711––
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Priadko to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yurii Priadko at 70.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 6–3 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1112 vs Ivnytskyi 956
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Ivnytskyi 100%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 60% vs Ivnytskyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Ivnytskyi +5
Ivnytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivnytskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.40 / Ivnytskyi 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Priadko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088892
Priadko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 41 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Ivnytskyi2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 20 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePriadko6wins
AwayIvnytskyi3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPriadko leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko80%4 of 5
AwayIvnytskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko5Ivnytskyi4n = 9Priadko took 5 of 9
S2Priadko7Ivnytskyi2n = 9Priadko took 7 of 9
S3Priadko5Ivnytskyi4n = 9Priadko took 5 of 9
S4Priadko4Ivnytskyi2n = 6Priadko took 4 of 6
S5Priadko2Ivnytskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPriadkoIvnytskyiP − IBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.937.4+4.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 231 vs 27 / 8848.9%30.7%113 / 231 vs 27 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.40/Ivnytskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 17:34Y. Priadko—68111182V. Ivnytskyi—111146113
WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko—8121111113V. Ivnytskyi—111013772
LAug 17 · 14:00Y. Priadko—118121292V. Ivnytskyi—7111410113
WJul 18 · 11:00Y. Priadko—811115113V. Ivnytskyi—11691192
WJun 20 · 11:00Y. Priadko—11119113V. Ivnytskyi—791181
WMay 26 · 15:30Y. Priadko—1111143V. Ivnytskyi—95120
LMay 23 · 07:30Y. Priadko—9119101V. Ivnytskyi—11811123
WMar 7 · 12:00Y. Priadko—1111113V. Ivnytskyi—7760
WFeb 14 · 10:30Y. Priadko—1111103V. Ivnytskyi—7890
Y. Priadko10
LSep 7 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.28841271V. Klymenko3.50111110113WSep 7 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.281111113D. Aldayev3.506570WSep 7 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.06115811143M. Bukata8.00711115122LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101
V. Ivnytskyi10
WSep 7 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi1.361110511113M. Bukata3.0061211662WSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252
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