TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088656
Played Sep 7Finished
Vitalii Klymenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114116––––
Denis Aldayev
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDenis Aldayev to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Denis Aldayev at 54.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 17–18 Denis Aldayev Vitalii Klymenko has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Aldayev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 954 vs Aldayev 910
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Aldayev 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Aldayev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Aldayev -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Aldayev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aldayev form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.91 / Aldayev 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Aldayev)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13088656
Klymenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 27 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Aldayev1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 27 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko6wins
AwayAldayev4wins
Klymenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%6 of 6
AwayAldayev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko6Aldayev4n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S2Klymenko4Aldayev6n = 10Aldayev took 6 of 10
S3Klymenko6Aldayev4n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Klymenko3Aldayev1n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoAldayevK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.632.60.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 239 vs 92 / 22537.7%40.9%90 / 239 vs 92 / 225Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AldayevKlymenko 1.91/Aldayev 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Aldayev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 17:03V. Klymenko—821191D. Aldayev—11119113
LAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko—141080D. Aldayev—1612113
WAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko—1111123D. Aldayev—79100
WAug 15 · 04:30V. Klymenko—11811113D. Aldayev—611891
LJul 18 · 10:30V. Klymenko—4740D. Aldayev—1111113
WJul 13 · 12:30V. Klymenko—11116113D. Aldayev—971161
WJul 11 · 05:30V. Klymenko—1111113D. Aldayev—8640
WJul 6 · 14:00V. Klymenko—121011113D. Aldayev—1012941
WJul 4 · 09:00V. Klymenko—1114113D. Aldayev—91290
LApr 18 · 06:00V. Klymenko—51250D. Aldayev—1114113
V. Klymenko10
WSep 7 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.171111113M. Bukata4.506930LAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101LAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113WAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980WAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133LAug 17 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.3071112173V. Klymenko3.4011610151WAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252LAug 17 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.118870M. Bukata6.001111113
D. Aldayev10
LSep 7 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.281111113D. Aldayev3.506570LSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2011711113D. Aldayev1.61911841WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920WAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762
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