TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155298
Played Sep 19Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611119811411
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 88 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 64.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 10–28 Myhailo Levytskii Petr Kolesnik has won 10 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Levytskii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-28 in 38
Levytskii
Correct
gap of 18 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1520 vs Levytskii 1697
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 60% vs Levytskii 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 30% vs Levytskii 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik -2 · Levytskii +3
Levytskii
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Levytskii) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolesnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.50 / Levytskii 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Levytskii)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155298
Kolesnik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Levytskii1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnik4wins
AwayLevytskii6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevytskii leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLevytskii66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik1Levytskii9n = 10Levytskii took 9 of 10
S2Kolesnik4Levytskii6n = 10Levytskii took 6 of 10
S3Kolesnik3Levytskii7n = 10Levytskii took 7 of 10
S4Kolesnik3Levytskii3n = 6split evenly
S5Kolesnik3Levytskii0n = 3Kolesnik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnikLevytskiiK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.839.8−4.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 324 vs 160 / 30155.9%53.2%181 / 324 vs 160 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiKolesnik 2.50/Levytskii 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:00P. Kolesnik3961111113M. Levytskii27116641
LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik4691111151M. Levytskii4711613173
LAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik239770M. Levytskii331111113
WAug 26 · 12:30P. Kolesnik52119711143M. Levytskii52911119122
LAug 22 · 09:30P. Kolesnik341091141M. Levytskii4212118113
LAug 13 · 14:00P. Kolesnik164480M. Levytskii331111113
LJul 15 · 15:30P. Kolesnik196670M. Levytskii331111113
WJun 20 · 12:30P. Kolesnik48711118113M. Levytskii4611881182
WMay 30 · 10:33P. Kolesnik53711911153M. Levytskii48119114132
LMay 30 · 06:00P. Kolesnik2813870M. Levytskii371511113
P. Kolesnik10
WSep 19 · 16:30P. Kolesnik2.0081111113D. Tsys1.73113581WSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113WSep 13 · 07:30S. Bului1.4041111882P. Kolesnik2.75117711113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173
M. Levytskii10
WSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773WSep 19 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.22101111193I. Dubinin4.001268171LSep 14 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko1.25139711113M. Levytskii3.75111111392LSep 14 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.25781231S. Kiilo1.57111110113LSep 14 · 13:30R. Horokh1.11671116113M. Levytskii6.00111131492LSep 14 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.5010613101S. Balabei1.17121111123WSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173
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