TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155416
Played Sep 19Finished
Petr Kolesnik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811113115118––
Dmytro Tsys
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Kolesnik above · Dmytro Tsys below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kolesnik 17–16 Dmytro Tsys Dmytro Tsys has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tsys
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-16 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolesnik 1530 vs Tsys 1603
Tsys
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolesnik 40% vs Tsys 60%
Tsys
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolesnik 30% vs Tsys 70%
Tsys
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolesnik -3 · Tsys -2
Kolesnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Tsys) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolesnik 2.00 / Tsys 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Tsys)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155416
Kolesnik2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Tsys1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 38 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolesnik3wins
AwayTsys7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTsys leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolesnik20%1 of 5
AwayTsys60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolesnik5Tsys5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolesnik7Tsys3n = 10Kolesnik took 7 of 10
S3Kolesnik3Tsys7n = 10Tsys took 7 of 10
S4Kolesnik5Tsys3n = 8Kolesnik took 5 of 8
S5Kolesnik0Tsys5n = 5Tsys took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolesnikTsysK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.8+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolesnikTsysBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 325 vs 121 / 23755.7%51.1%181 / 325 vs 121 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysKolesnik 2.00/Tsys 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 08:00P. Kolesnik33119761D. Tsys4181111113
LAug 21 · 06:30P. Kolesnik4711981182D. Tsys46611117113
WAug 20 · 17:08P. Kolesnik331111113D. Tsys174670
LAug 20 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2310760D. Tsys341211113
LAug 14 · 15:00P. Kolesnik3811113762D. Tsys46761111113
WJul 16 · 06:30P. Kolesnik4661117123D. Tsys4011415101
LJul 15 · 13:00P. Kolesnik4391181142D. Tsys44117114113
WJul 11 · 05:00P. Kolesnik49151211113D. Tsys431710971
LJul 10 · 15:30P. Kolesnik501011711112D. Tsys46124116133
LJul 5 · 09:00P. Kolesnik521111121082D. Tsys51861412113
P. Kolesnik10
LSep 19 · 17:35M. Levytskii1.50118118113P. Kolesnik2.50911811102LSep 19 · 15:30P. Kolesnik2.5011611842M. Levytskii1.50611911113WSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 19 · 13:00P. Kolesnik2.6391111962O. Torianyk1.44118711113LSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113WSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk1.40117881P. Kolesnik2.7571111113WSep 13 · 07:30S. Bului1.4041111882P. Kolesnik2.75117711113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113
D. Tsys10
LSep 19 · 17:04I. Dubinin2.7511911113D. Tsys1.40611661LSep 19 · 15:00D. Tsys1.2881111762I. Dubinin3.5011751193LSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773WSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590
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