TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154393
Played Sep 19Finished
Radim Kvasnicka
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151113511117711
David Mikula
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Kvasnicka above · David Mikula below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 — our read held David Mikula at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radim Kvasnicka 1–3 David Mikula Radim Kvasnicka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mikula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Mikula
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvasnicka 1422 vs Mikula 1381
Kvasnicka
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvasnicka 80% vs Mikula 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvasnicka 80% vs Mikula 50%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvasnicka +4 · Mikula +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvasnicka 2.00 / Mikula 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154393
Kvasnicka2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 15 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Mikula1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 37 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKvasnicka1wins
AwayMikula3wins
Mikula leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvasnicka2Mikula2n = 4split evenly
S2Kvasnicka1Mikula3n = 4Mikula took 3 of 4
S3Kvasnicka0Mikula4n = 4Mikula took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKvasnickaMikulaK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match31.537.2−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvasnickaMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 114 vs 164 / 35454.4%46.3%62 / 114 vs 164 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaKvasnicka 2.00/Mikula 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 15 · 14:00R. Kvasnicka4211146113D. Mikula377121171
LApr 13 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka22210100D. Mikula351112123
LApr 10 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2567120D. Mikula361111143
LMar 16 · 19:30R. Kvasnicka3711510111D. Mikula4151112133
R. Kvasnicka10
WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.382911101R. Kvasnicka1.5311119123WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172WSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691
D. Mikula10
WSep 19 · 19:00A. Schneeberger3.00111011742D. Mikula1.36212911113WSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141WSep 15 · 09:30D. Tyn1.82911101142D. Mikula1.85119126113WSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula1.67117811113V. Kocian2.1061111542LSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162
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