TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154403
Played Sep 19Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2119111191012––
Radim Kvasnicka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-11
Point 74 set 4, 10-11 — our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 61.7%
74 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 4–4 Radim Kvasnicka Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1273 vs Kvasnicka 1415
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Kvasnicka 80%
Kvasnicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 30% vs Kvasnicka 80%
Kvasnicka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -2 · Kvasnicka +3
Kvasnicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kvasnicka) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvasnicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.38 / Kvasnicka 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154403
Zientek2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 86 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back34% 33 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Kvasnicka1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 29 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZientek4wins
AwayKvasnicka4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek50%2 of 4
AwayKvasnicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek4Kvasnicka4n = 8split evenly
S2Zientek5Kvasnicka3n = 8Zientek took 5 of 8
S3Zientek5Kvasnicka3n = 8Zientek took 5 of 8
S4Zientek3Kvasnicka4n = 7Kvasnicka took 4 of 7
S5Zientek1Kvasnicka2n = 3Kvasnicka took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricZientekKvasnickaZ − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.139.4+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 400 vs 61 / 11348.5%54%194 / 400 vs 61 / 113Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaZientek 2.38/Kvasnicka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 30 · 09:00Z. Zientek43117114102R. Kvasnicka47611711123
LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek4411511892R. Kvasnicka47611811113
LJul 23 · 21:30Z. Zientek316411101R. Kvasnicka3911115123
WJul 23 · 20:30Z. Zientek4391211113R. Kvasnicka391110991
LMay 31 · 09:00Z. Zientek32914451R. Kvasnicka45111211113
WMay 31 · 06:00Z. Zientek4211119113R. Kvasnicka34861191
WMay 2 · 21:28Z. Zientek331111113R. Kvasnicka217860
WMay 2 · 20:00Z. Zientek531111711133R. Kvasnicka43134114112
Z. Zientek10
LSep 19 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6111811113Z. Zientek2.20911941LSep 19 · 18:30D. Mikula1.4011138113Z. Zientek2.758111141LSep 16 · 13:30A. Schneeberger1.65118129113Z. Zientek2.10711101152WSep 16 · 12:30Z. Balusek1.73118791Z. Zientek2.0081111113LSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113WSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger1.53311111082Z. Zientek2.38117512113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kocian1.73201156113Z. Zientek2.00188111152LSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123
R. Kvasnicka10
LSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162LSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172WSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102WAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113WAug 30 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka1.5311101111113M. Kolek2.3841241332LAug 30 · 06:30F. Zurek2.2511311113R. Kvasnicka1.57911691
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