TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135754
Played Sep 16Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117411118611711
Vojtech Kocian
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:47 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 87 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 60.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 2–5 Vojtech Kocian Zbynek Zientek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kocian
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1255 vs Kocian 1340
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 20% vs Kocian 40%
Kocian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 30% vs Kocian 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek +1 · Kocian -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.25 / Kocian 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kocian)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135754
Zientek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back33% 32 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Kocian1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 46 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZientek2wins
AwayKocian5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKocian leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKocian100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek3Kocian4n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7
S2Zientek2Kocian5n = 7Kocian took 5 of 7
S3Zientek4Kocian3n = 7Zientek took 4 of 7
S4Zientek1Kocian3n = 4Kocian took 3 of 4
S5Zientek1Kocian2n = 3Kocian took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricZientekKocianZ − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.738.3−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 396 vs 90 / 17448.7%51.7%193 / 396 vs 90 / 174Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianZientek 2.25/Kocian 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 15 · 09:00Z. Zientek53188111152V. Kocian53201156113
LSep 15 · 07:00Z. Zientek4111711662V. Kocian47811611113
WAug 17 · 10:30Z. Zientek351113113V. Kocian1951130
LJul 31 · 10:30Z. Zientek29711471V. Kocian3911611113
LJun 16 · 07:30Z. Zientek30811110V. Kocian371113133
WJun 10 · 08:59Z. Zientek49117119113V. Kocian4071151162
LJun 10 · 06:30Z. Zientek206680V. Kocian331111113
Z. Zientek10
WSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger1.53311111082Z. Zientek2.38117512113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kocian1.73201156113Z. Zientek2.00188111152LSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113
V. Kocian10
LSep 16 · 12:00V. Kocian3.256911141A. Schneeberger1.3311117163LSep 16 · 10:00V. Kocian2.10911781Z. Balusek1.6711311113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Kocian1.73201156113Z. Zientek2.00188111152LSep 15 · 08:30V. Kocian2.10121060D. Tyn1.671412113WSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula1.67117811113V. Kocian2.1061111542LSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100WSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181WSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113LSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123
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