Vojtech Kocian vs Zdenek Balusek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13134378

Played Sep 16Finished

Vojtech Kocian

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911113711811––

Zdenek Balusek

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Zdenek Balusek to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Zdenek Balusek below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Zdenek Balusek at 54.0%

71 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:47

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Balusek

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kocian 1347 vs Balusek 1535

Balusek

Correct

both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kocian 40% vs Balusek 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kocian 50% vs Balusek 70%

Balusek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kocian +1 · Balusek -3

Balusek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Balusek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Balusek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKocian 2.10 / Balusek 1.67

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Balusek)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13134378

Kocian2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog25% won 13 of 52

Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 24

Balusek1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKocianBalusekBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 173 vs 24 / 3952%61.5%90 / 173 vs 24 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Balusek

Kocian 2.10/Balusek 1.67

Hit

What we said

58.6%

Balusek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Balusek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Kocian10