TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13136180
Played Sep 16Finished
Zdenek Balusek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811711911––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Balusek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Balusek above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Zdenek Balusek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Balusek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Balusek 1514 vs Zientek 1247
Balusek
Wrong
both rated, 267 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balusek 20% vs Zientek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balusek 60% vs Zientek 20%
Balusek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balusek -1 · Zientek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Balusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalusek 1.73 / Zientek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Balusek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13136180
Balusek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zientek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back33% 32 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalusekZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 39 vs 193 / 39761.5%48.6%24 / 39 vs 193 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalusekBalusek 1.73/Zientek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Balusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zientek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Balusek10
LSep 16 · 13:00V. Kocian3.75791111113Z. Balusek1.2511118982LSep 16 · 11:00Z. Balusek1.736890A. Schneeberger2.001111113WSep 16 · 10:00V. Kocian2.10911781Z. Balusek1.6711311113LSep 13 · 13:08R. Adam1.57131189113Z. Balusek2.25119111182LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Balusek2.2011612372R. Adam1.618111011113LSep 13 · 10:30M. Heczko1.801921193Z. Balusek1.911711971WSep 7 · 17:30Z. Balusek1.25111111103J. Levicky3.75137591WSep 7 · 16:00R. Guliak2.00117251Z. Balusek1.7391111103WSep 7 · 15:00M. Kaspar1.919540Z. Balusek1.801111113WSep 7 · 14:30Z. Balusek1.3011812103J. Levicky3.409111041
Z. Zientek10
LSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113WSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger1.53311111082Z. Zientek2.38117512113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kocian1.73201156113Z. Zientek2.00188111152LSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191
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