TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140387
Played Sep 16Finished
Antonin Schneeberger
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1178111210911115
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeAntonin Schneeberger to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntonin Schneeberger above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Antonin Schneeberger at 58.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Schneeberger 18–12 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zientek beat Schneeberger 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Schneeberger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Schneeberger
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schneeberger 1332 vs Zientek 1266
Schneeberger
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schneeberger 60% vs Zientek 40%
Schneeberger
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schneeberger 50% vs Zientek 30%
Schneeberger
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schneeberger +2 · Zientek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Schneeberger) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchneeberger 1.65 / Zientek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Schneeberger)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140387
Schneeberger1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 38 of 53
Zientek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back33% 32 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back19% 10 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchneeberger7wins
AwayZientek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchneeberger leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchneeberger100%5 of 5
AwayZientek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schneeberger5Zientek5n = 10split evenly
S2Schneeberger6Zientek4n = 10Schneeberger took 6 of 10
S3Schneeberger7Zientek3n = 10Schneeberger took 7 of 10
S4Schneeberger5Zientek2n = 7Schneeberger took 5 of 7
S5Schneeberger2Zientek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchneebergerZientekS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.8+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchneebergerZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 256 vs 194 / 39845.3%48.7%116 / 256 vs 194 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchneebergerSchneeberger 1.65/Zientek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.2%
Schneeberger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger43311111082Z. Zientek46117512113
WAug 13 · 06:00A. Schneeberger4171111123Z. Zientek281152101
WAug 5 · 10:00A. Schneeberger331111113Z. Zientek196670
LAug 1 · 21:09A. Schneeberger113080Z. Zientek331111113
LAug 1 · 20:00A. Schneeberger4181111742Z. Zientek47115911113
WJul 20 · 10:00A. Schneeberger4211911113Z. Zientek31611771
WJul 15 · 08:58A. Schneeberger3811511113Z. Zientek36911881
WJul 15 · 08:30A. Schneeberger341211113Z. Zientek1810350
WJul 13 · 20:30A. Schneeberger47511911113Z. Zientek4511911592
WJul 10 · 06:30A. Schneeberger44115611113Z. Zientek3531111642
A. Schneeberger10
WSep 16 · 12:00V. Kocian3.256911141A. Schneeberger1.3311117163WSep 16 · 11:00Z. Balusek1.736890A. Schneeberger2.001111113LSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger1.53311111082Z. Zientek2.38117512113LSep 12 · 12:58A. Schneeberger1.50111191252D. Kolek2.50971114113WSep 12 · 12:30A. Schneeberger1.67111111103D. Kolek2.10139841LSep 12 · 11:00A. Schneeberger2.501167101D. Priesol1.5051111123LSep 12 · 10:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111488113A. Schneeberger2.50112111142WSep 11 · 17:00P. Kalvar1.6891111772A. Schneeberger2.05117911113LSep 11 · 16:30D. Priesol1.57111011113A. Schneeberger2.25912571WSep 11 · 15:30A. Schneeberger2.20861112113P. Kalvar1.61111121072
Z. Zientek10
WSep 16 · 12:30Z. Balusek1.73118791Z. Zientek2.0081111113LSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113WSep 16 · 10:30A. Schneeberger1.53311111082Z. Zientek2.38117512113LSep 15 · 09:00V. Kocian1.73201156113Z. Zientek2.00188111152LSep 15 · 08:00D. Mikula1.531111113Z. Zientek2.388540LSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113
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