TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145251
Played Sep 17Finished
Milan Dvorak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210611611––
Jan Hendrych
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Hendrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Dvorak above · Jan Hendrych below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Hendrych at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Milan Dvorak 27–28 Jan Hendrych Milan Dvorak has won 27 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-28 in 55
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1507 vs Hendrych 1538
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Hendrych 40%
Dvorak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 60% vs Hendrych 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak -2 · Hendrych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 2.00 / Hendrych 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hendrych)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13145251
Dvorak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back27% 11 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Hendrych1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak3wins
AwayHendrych7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHendrych leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHendrych77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak1Hendrych9n = 10Hendrych took 9 of 10
S2Dvorak7Hendrych3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S3Dvorak4Hendrych6n = 10Hendrych took 6 of 10
S4Dvorak5Hendrych4n = 9Dvorak took 5 of 9
S5Dvorak1Hendrych3n = 4Hendrych took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakHendrychD − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.1−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 344 vs 265 / 51947.7%51.1%164 / 344 vs 265 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychDvorak 2.00/Hendrych 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak3811115113J. Hendrych30681151
LAug 3 · 14:55M. Dvorak43711114102J. Hendrych48119511123
LJul 29 · 17:55M. Dvorak41101161132J. Hendrych47125118113
WJul 29 · 16:20M. Dvorak581611911113J. Hendrych5218811692
LJul 22 · 14:55M. Dvorak238870J. Hendrych331111113
LJun 30 · 16:20M. Dvorak32711951J. Hendrych4211911113
LJun 24 · 17:30M. Dvorak5099141172J. Hendrych491111124113
LJun 24 · 14:20M. Dvorak379116111J. Hendrych4011511133
WJun 15 · 15:20M. Dvorak4181111113J. Hendrych36119791
LJun 10 · 16:50M. Dvorak398101291J. Hendrych44111210113
M. Dvorak10
LSep 17 · 16:50M. Sochor1.80131110113M. Dvorak1.911161271LSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151LSep 16 · 17:49M. Dvorak1.679750J. Dvorak2.101111113WSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232WSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 11 · 18:25M. Dvorak1.78311961A. Kral1.9211911113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 15:55M. Dvorak2.201110138113A. Kral1.61512111152WSep 11 · 14:55M. Dvorak2.2011117113D. Sochor1.61961171
J. Hendrych10
WSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113WSep 17 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.0011911113M. Sochor1.73611791LSep 14 · 17:20J. Hendrych1.60118891D. Sochor2.2071111113LSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871WSep 14 · 15:50D. Sochor2.1011581182J. Hendrych1.67811118113LSep 14 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.00111241072Z. Zahradka1.734101112113LSep 10 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.65111161252L. Moravec2.10661114113WSep 10 · 16:50J. Hendrych2.101211115113Z. Zahradka1.6714581172WSep 10 · 15:20L. Moravec2.25511281J. Hendrych1.5711211113WSep 10 · 14:50M. Dolezal2.257990J. Hendrych1.571111113
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J. Hendrych
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