TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145230
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslav Sochor
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111161012117––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sochor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Sochor above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 81 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Sochor at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Sochor 41–38 Milan Dvorak Milan Dvorak has won 38 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sochor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-38 in 79
Sochor
Correct
gap of 3 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1579 vs Dvorak 1497
Sochor
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 80% vs Dvorak 40%
Sochor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 50% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +1 · Dvorak -3
Dvorak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sochor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 1.80 / Dvorak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sochor)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13145230
Sochor1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 38 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 30 of 42
Dvorak1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back27% 11 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor3wins
AwayDvorak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDvorak75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor2Dvorak8n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S2Sochor4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Sochor3Dvorak7n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Sochor3Dvorak2n = 5Sochor took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorDvorakS − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.5−5.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 515 vs 164 / 34551.7%47.5%266 / 515 vs 164 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SochorSochor 1.80/Dvorak 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sochor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 17:25M. Sochor259790M. Dvorak331111113
WAug 5 · 14:50M. Sochor482131111113M. Dvorak48111113672
WJul 22 · 18:03M. Sochor3931111143M. Dvorak381169121
WJul 22 · 17:25M. Sochor331111113M. Dvorak247890
LJul 7 · 17:25M. Sochor29117561M. Dvorak4071111113
LJul 7 · 14:20M. Sochor3961211101M. Dvorak46111013123
LJun 29 · 18:40M. Sochor175480M. Dvorak331111113
LJun 29 · 16:55M. Sochor4679111182M. Dvorak46111167113
LJun 15 · 16:20M. Sochor2210570M. Dvorak341211113
LMar 31 · 18:05M. Sochor239680M. Dvorak331111113
M. Sochor10
LSep 17 · 18:00J. Hendrych1.674111115113M. Sochor2.10118131342WSep 17 · 15:20D. Sykora3.00910100M. Sochor1.361112123LSep 17 · 14:50J. Hendrych2.0011911113M. Sochor1.73611791WSep 10 · 18:30M. Sulc1.5711781172M. Sochor2.25911115113WSep 10 · 16:55J. Volek2.005121131M. Sochor1.7311149113WSep 10 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.4410580M. Sochor2.631211113LSep 10 · 15:25M. Sochor2.0011119252M. Sulc1.73991111113WSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113LSep 7 · 16:20A. Rek1.441111143M. Sochor2.6339120LSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590
M. Dvorak10
WSep 17 · 17:30D. Sykora1.709630M. Dvorak2.021111113LSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113LSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151LSep 16 · 17:49M. Dvorak1.679750J. Dvorak2.101111113WSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232WSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 11 · 18:25M. Dvorak1.78311961A. Kral1.9211911113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 15:55M. Dvorak2.201110138113A. Kral1.61512111152
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