TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13147812
Played Sep 17Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611311––––
Milan Dvorak
Away
2.02
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11
51 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 5–8 Milan Dvorak David Sykora has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sykora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.70 / Dvorak 2.02
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sykora)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13147812
Sykora1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 96 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Dvorak2.02
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 36 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back27% 11 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora3wins
AwayDvorak7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora60%3 of 5
AwayDvorak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora5Dvorak5n = 10split evenly
S2Sykora4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Sykora3Dvorak7n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10
S4Sykora4Dvorak3n = 7Sykora took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraDvorakS − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.5−3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 542 vs 164 / 34653.9%47.4%292 / 542 vs 164 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.70/Dvorak 2.02
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 16:25D. Sykora45111211113M. Dvorak38814881
LJul 29 · 14:20D. Sykora29951141M. Dvorak4211119113
LJun 29 · 14:55D. Sykora36118981M. Dvorak4291111113
LMay 25 · 15:20D. Sykora238960M. Dvorak331111113
LApr 20 · 14:20D. Sykora381148151M. Dvorak4891111173
LApr 15 · 14:20D. Sykora4631491192M. Dvorak511112116113
LFeb 16 · 17:50D. Sykora50711814102M. Dvorak541181112123
LFeb 6 · 18:35D. Sykora2451180M. Dvorak351113113
WFeb 6 · 15:20D. Sykora3411111113M. Dvorak28551171
WDec 10 · 18:35D. Sykora371111153M. Dvorak2483130
D. Sykora10
LSep 17 · 16:20D. Sykora1.83116761J. Hendrych1.8391111113LSep 17 · 15:20D. Sykora3.00910100M. Sochor1.361112123WSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151WSep 14 · 17:50Z. Zahradka3.00101191182D. Sykora1.36127118113WSep 14 · 16:20D. Sykora1.8381111113J. Hendrych1.83118871LSep 14 · 15:20D. Sykora1.30811771Z. Zahradka3.4011811113WSep 14 · 14:20D. Sykora1.4411136153D. Sochor2.6361111131WSep 13 · 21:29D. Sykora2.50881211133V. Skokan1.501111107112WSep 13 · 20:20D. Sykora3.001111113V. Skokan1.365740WSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752
M. Dvorak10
LSep 17 · 16:50M. Sochor1.80131110113M. Dvorak1.911161271LSep 17 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00612661J. Hendrych1.73111011113LSep 17 · 14:20D. Sykora1.8311111113M. Dvorak1.83841151LSep 16 · 17:49M. Dvorak1.679750J. Dvorak2.101111113WSep 16 · 16:50J. Dvorak1.91961171M. Dvorak1.8011119113WSep 16 · 15:50M. Dvorak2.00115811113D. Tichy1.7361111232WSep 16 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.83118891M. Dvorak1.8391111113LSep 11 · 18:25M. Dvorak1.78311961A. Kral1.9211911113WSep 11 · 16:55M. Dvorak1.57491111113L. Moravec2.2511114752WSep 11 · 15:55M. Dvorak2.201110138113A. Kral1.61512111152
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