TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140297
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Kaspar
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112112115––––
Vaclav Rybar
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Kaspar to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kaspar above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 42 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Michal Kaspar at 54.7%
42 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kaspar 2–0 Vaclav Rybar Vaclav Rybar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kaspar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaspar 1268 vs Rybar 1300
Rybar
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaspar 60% vs Rybar 40%
Kaspar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaspar 70% vs Rybar 50%
Kaspar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaspar +2 · Rybar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kaspar) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaspar 1.67 / Rybar 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kaspar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140297
Kaspar1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite29% won 5 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Rybar2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 7 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKaspar2wins
AwayRybar0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKaspar leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKasparRybarK − RBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.527.0+13.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasparRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 160 vs 23 / 4345.6%53.5%73 / 160 vs 23 / 43Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasparKaspar 1.67/Rybar 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kaspar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 17 · 08:30M. Kaspar331111113V. Rybar92250
WSep 14 · 07:00M. Kaspar48121186113V. Rybar45108111152
M. Kaspar10
WSep 17 · 07:00M. Kaspar2.1041111113M. Levicky1.67115681WSep 17 · 06:00P. Banot2.1010151181M. Kaspar1.67121313113LSep 14 · 09:28M. Levicky1.831113113M. Kaspar1.8381160LSep 14 · 08:00M. Levicky1.8311611113M. Kaspar1.83511871WSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar1.83108111152M. Kaspar1.83121186113WSep 14 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311129113M. Derco2.005101191WSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122WSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113LSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113
V. Rybar10
LSep 17 · 09:00V. Rybar1.5094140M. Levicky2.501111163LSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113WSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky2.005840V. Rybar1.731111113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113LSep 14 · 08:30V. Rybar1.80711651M. Derco1.9111911113LSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar1.83108111152M. Kaspar1.83121186113LSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133
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