TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139242
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Banot
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101215131113811––
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Kaspar to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 93 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Kaspar at 54.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 1–3 Michal Kaspar Petr Banot has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kaspar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kaspar
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Banot 1315 vs Kaspar 1240
Banot
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 40% vs Kaspar 60%
Kaspar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 50% vs Kaspar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot -3 · Kaspar -2
Banot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kaspar) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 2.10 / Kaspar 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kaspar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139242
Banot2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Kaspar1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite29% won 5 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBanot1wins
AwayKaspar3wins
Kaspar leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBanotn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKaspar100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Banot1Kaspar3n = 4Kaspar took 3 of 4
S2Banot2Kaspar2n = 4split evenly
S3Banot1Kaspar3n = 4Kaspar took 3 of 4
S4Banot1Kaspar2n = 3Kaspar took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBanotKasparB − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.039.8−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 109 vs 71 / 16047.7%44.4%52 / 109 vs 71 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasparBanot 2.10/Kaspar 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kaspar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 17 · 06:00P. Banot4410151181M. Kaspar49121313113
LAug 18 · 06:30P. Banot347116101M. Kaspar4211811123
LJun 23 · 08:00P. Banot229760M. Kaspar331111113
WMar 26 · 11:30P. Banot44121011113M. Kaspar351012671
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701
M. Kaspar10
LSep 14 · 09:28M. Levicky1.831113113M. Kaspar1.8381160LSep 14 · 08:00M. Levicky1.8311611113M. Kaspar1.83511871WSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar1.83108111152M. Kaspar1.83121186113WSep 14 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311129113M. Derco2.005101191WSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122WSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113LSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113WAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.