TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139239
Played Sep 17Finished
Matej Levicky
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811411––––
Vaclav Rybar
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Matej Levicky at 58.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 1–2 Vaclav Rybar Matej Levicky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1237 vs Rybar 1319
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Rybar 40%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Rybar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +4 · Rybar +1
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.00 / Rybar 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rybar)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139239
Levicky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Rybar1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLevicky1wins
AwayRybar2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderRybar leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky2Rybar1n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
S2Levicky0Rybar3n = 3Rybar took 3 of 3
S3Levicky1Rybar2n = 3Rybar took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricLevickyRybarL − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.743.0−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 388 vs 23 / 4251.8%54.8%201 / 388 vs 23 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarLevicky 2.00/Rybar 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky175840V. Rybar331111113
WSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky47116118113V. Rybar4491161172
LJul 6 · 18:30M. Levicky49131091162V. Rybar521112117113
M. Levicky10
LSep 17 · 08:00P. Banot1.44117117113M. Levicky2.6381171162LSep 17 · 07:00M. Kaspar2.1041111113M. Levicky1.67115681WSep 14 · 09:28M. Levicky1.831113113M. Kaspar1.8381160WSep 14 · 08:00M. Levicky1.8311611113M. Kaspar1.83511871WSep 14 · 07:30M. Derco2.0011481162M. Levicky1.73911119113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172LSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122LSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181LSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172LSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113
V. Rybar10
LSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113LSep 14 · 08:30V. Rybar1.80711651M. Derco1.9111911113LSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar1.83108111152M. Kaspar1.83121186113LSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.