TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140351
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Banot
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711117711116
Matej Levicky
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Petr Banot at 68.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 7–3 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Banot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Banot
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Banot 1330 vs Levicky 1237
Banot
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 20% vs Levicky 60%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot +1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Banot) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 1.44 / Levicky 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Banot)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140351
Banot1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 20 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Levicky2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBanot7wins
AwayLevicky3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBanot leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBanot77.8%7 of 9
AwayLevickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Banot9Levicky1n = 10Banot took 9 of 10
S2Banot6Levicky4n = 10Banot took 6 of 10
S3Banot5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Banot6Levicky2n = 8Banot took 6 of 8
S5Banot1Levicky3n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBanotLevickyB − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.735.1+7.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 110 vs 201 / 38848.2%51.8%53 / 110 vs 201 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BanotBanot 1.44/Levicky 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Banot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 20:30P. Banot541113118112M. Levicky546111311133
WAug 18 · 08:58P. Banot331111113M. Levicky116410
WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot4011711113M. Levicky33811681
LMay 9 · 13:00P. Banot3711541162M. Levicky47611118113
WMay 9 · 10:30P. Banot4011711113M. Levicky29611661
LApr 17 · 07:00P. Banot531011811132M. Levicky50126116153
WMar 8 · 16:00P. Banot331111113M. Levicky179170
WMar 7 · 12:00P. Banot4411138123M. Levicky3641111101
WFeb 27 · 10:05P. Banot501110117113M. Levicky3951271142
WFeb 27 · 07:30P. Banot43111110113M. Levicky35991251
P. Banot10
WSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113LSep 17 · 06:00P. Banot2.1010151181M. Kaspar1.67121313113LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101
M. Levicky10
WSep 17 · 09:00V. Rybar1.5094140M. Levicky2.501111163LSep 17 · 07:00M. Kaspar2.1041111113M. Levicky1.67115681LSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky2.005840V. Rybar1.731111113WSep 14 · 09:28M. Levicky1.831113113M. Kaspar1.8381160WSep 14 · 08:00M. Levicky1.8311611113M. Kaspar1.83511871WSep 14 · 07:30M. Derco2.0011481162M. Levicky1.73911119113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172WAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681
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