TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145349
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Rybar
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9114111416––––
Matej Levicky
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Rybar above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 65 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Rybar 2–1 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Rybar beat Levicky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Rybar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rybar 1300 vs Levicky 1229
Rybar
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybar 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybar 50% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybar -2 · Levicky -3
Levicky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybar 1.50 / Levicky 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Rybar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145349
Rybar1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Levicky2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRybar2wins
AwayLevicky1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderRybar leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rybar1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
S2Rybar3Levicky0n = 3Rybar took 3 of 3
S3Rybar2Levicky1n = 3Rybar took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRybarLevickyR − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.037.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybarLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 43 vs 201 / 38953.5%51.7%23 / 43 vs 201 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarRybar 1.50/Levicky 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 06:30V. Rybar331111113M. Levicky175840
LSep 14 · 06:00V. Rybar4491161172M. Levicky47116118113
WJul 6 · 18:30V. Rybar521112117113M. Levicky49131091162
V. Rybar10
LSep 17 · 08:30M. Kaspar1.671111113V. Rybar2.102250LSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113WSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky2.005840V. Rybar1.731111113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113LSep 14 · 08:30V. Rybar1.80711651M. Derco1.9111911113LSep 14 · 07:00V. Rybar1.83108111152M. Kaspar1.83121186113LSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133
M. Levicky10
LSep 17 · 08:00P. Banot1.44117117113M. Levicky2.6381171162LSep 17 · 07:00M. Kaspar2.1041111113M. Levicky1.67115681LSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky2.005840V. Rybar1.731111113WSep 14 · 09:28M. Levicky1.831113113M. Kaspar1.8381160WSep 14 · 08:00M. Levicky1.8311611113M. Kaspar1.83511871WSep 14 · 07:30M. Derco2.0011481162M. Levicky1.73911119113WSep 14 · 06:00M. Levicky2.00116118113V. Rybar1.7391161172LSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122LSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181LSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172
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