TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13137120
Played Sep 16Finished
Alina Kurtenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Nataliia Plokhotniuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeNataliia Plokhotniuk to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Kurtenko above · Nataliia Plokhotniuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Nataliia Plokhotniuk at 72.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alina Kurtenko 6–19 Nataliia Plokhotniuk Alina Kurtenko has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Plokhotniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-19 in 25
Plokhotniuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1638 vs Plokhotniuk 1755
Plokhotniuk
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Plokhotniuk 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 80% vs Plokhotniuk 50%
Kurtenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -1 · Plokhotniuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Plokhotniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plokhotniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.25 / Plokhotniuk 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Plokhotniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13137120
Kurtenko3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 16 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Plokhotniuk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 56 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko4wins
AwayPlokhotniuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlokhotniuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko75%3 of 4
AwayPlokhotniuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko4Plokhotniuk6n = 10Plokhotniuk took 6 of 10
S2Kurtenko8Plokhotniuk2n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S3Kurtenko3Plokhotniuk7n = 10Plokhotniuk took 7 of 10
S4Kurtenko3Plokhotniuk4n = 7Plokhotniuk took 4 of 7
S5Kurtenko1Plokhotniuk2n = 3Plokhotniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoPlokhotniukK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.9−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoPlokhotniukBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 223 vs 104 / 16953.4%61.5%119 / 223 vs 104 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlokhotniukKurtenko 3.25/Plokhotniuk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Plokhotniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plokhotniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 04:30A. Kurtenko351111133N. Plokhotniuk2458110
LAug 12 · 06:00A. Kurtenko46611101182N. Plokhotniuk50119127113
LJul 23 · 05:30A. Kurtenko235990N. Plokhotniuk331111113
WJul 22 · 09:00A. Kurtenko4711169113N. Plokhotniuk365141161
WJul 22 · 05:30A. Kurtenko371111153N. Plokhotniuk2795130
LJun 25 · 07:00A. Kurtenko469181091N. Plokhotniuk50111612113
LJun 24 · 09:05A. Kurtenko301011631N. Plokhotniuk4212811113
LJun 18 · 05:30A. Kurtenko30126751N. Plokhotniuk43101111113
LJun 17 · 07:35A. Kurtenko50911911102N. Plokhotniuk46114118123
WMay 30 · 08:05A. Kurtenko511211116113N. Plokhotniuk4814681192
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 17:40A. Kurtenko1.80129911162A. Rzhevska1.911011118183WSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162WSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103LSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151
N. Plokhotniuk10
WSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.75711931I. Yevtodii1.4011911113LSep 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk2.209540A. Ovriakh1.611111113WSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740LSep 10 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.3361090R. Budnyk3.251112113WSep 9 · 11:00N. Plokhotniuk1.911112109113A. Ovriakh1.80610121182WSep 9 · 09:00P. Pashchenko3.75211981N. Plokhotniuk1.2511911113WSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540LSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133
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