TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135156
Played Sep 15Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111181311611811
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
3.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
9111181311611811
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 42–15 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 15 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-15 in 57
Arkadiusz
Wrong
gap of 27 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1435 vs Kedzierski 1312
Arkadiusz
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Kedzierski 40%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Kedzierski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz -1 · Kedzierski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (28%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.25 / Kedzierski 3.60
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13135156
Arkadiusz1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 112 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 82 of 107
Kedzierski3.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 33 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz7wins
AwayKedzierski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz83.3%5 of 6
AwayKedzierski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz6Kedzierski4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Arkadiusz6Kedzierski4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Arkadiusz5Kedzierski5n = 10split evenly
S4Arkadiusz5Kedzierski2n = 7Arkadiusz took 5 of 7
S5Arkadiusz3Kedzierski1n = 4Arkadiusz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszKedzierskiA − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.436.3+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 984 vs 170 / 44455.9%38.3%550 / 984 vs 170 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.25/Kedzierski 3.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.6%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 16:30W. Arkadiusz541011814113P. Kedzierski44126111232
WAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz529111011113P. Kedzierski4511912852
WAug 26 · 14:30W. Arkadiusz331111113P. Kedzierski268990
WAug 22 · 13:45W. Arkadiusz341211113P. Kedzierski2710980
LAug 22 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz4211812111P. Kedzierski4461114133
WAug 14 · 15:30W. Arkadiusz4211911113P. Kedzierski27511561
WAug 4 · 16:30W. Arkadiusz331111113P. Kedzierski204790
LJul 21 · 19:00W. Arkadiusz34961181P. Kedzierski3911116113
LJul 7 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz4981191292P. Kedzierski511181110113
WJun 30 · 16:30W. Arkadiusz51119811123P. Kedzierski40411114102
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 15 · 16:30K. Kos2.0081111113W. Arkadiusz1.71114881LSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113WSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos1.99911711122W. Arkadiusz1.70118114143LSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8681111113W. Arkadiusz1.83116851WSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk1.856111171W. Arkadiusz1.8511713113WSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk1.635760W. Arkadiusz2.151111113WSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751LSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.0511611113J. Komorowicz1.70211691WSep 9 · 18:30K. Kos1.3611681152P. Kedzierski2.75911119113LSep 9 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.66118117113P. Kedzierski2.0591191182LSep 9 · 16:00M. Szostak1.49111679113P. Kedzierski2.34614111142LSep 9 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.755420K. Patryk1.361111113WSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 20:00K. Kos1.3211911113P. Kedzierski2.90911881WSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.