TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13131128
Played Sep 14Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210611611119911
Jakub Caban
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611611119911
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 39–34 Jakub Caban Jakub Caban has won 34 of their 73 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Arkadiusz beat Caban 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Caban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 2.00 / Caban 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Caban)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13131128
Arkadiusz2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 48 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Caban1.72
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 34 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz7wins
AwayCaban3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz100%4 of 4
AwayCaban50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S2Arkadiusz4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S3Arkadiusz8Caban2n = 10Arkadiusz took 8 of 10
S4Arkadiusz8Caban2n = 10Arkadiusz took 8 of 10
S5Arkadiusz2Caban2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszCabanA − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.944.3+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 983 vs 226 / 40656%55.7%550 / 983 vs 226 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanArkadiusz 2.00/Caban 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Caban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz4511913123J. Caban3861111101
WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz3611311113J. Caban36811981
WAug 14 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz58511914193J. Caban581171112172
WJul 13 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz44111111113J. Caban39913891
LJul 6 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz391011991J. Caban4212811113
WJul 6 · 21:00W. Arkadiusz4291111113J. Caban33118771
WJun 30 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz495121110113J. Caban50111091282
LJun 30 · 19:00W. Arkadiusz46115121172J. Caban531311108113
WJun 9 · 19:00W. Arkadiusz4512811143J. Caban3710114121
LJun 1 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz559101212122J. Caban5711121010143
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos1.99911711122W. Arkadiusz1.70118114143LSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8681111113W. Arkadiusz1.83116851WSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk1.856111171W. Arkadiusz1.8511713113WSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk1.635760W. Arkadiusz2.151111113WSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751LSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981
J. Caban10
LSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113WSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192WSep 14 · 16:00J. Caban2.05811128113L. Buklat1.70119101162LSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981WSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572
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