TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13135898
Played Sep 15Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114118118––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:26 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811114118118––
H2H Kamil Kos 18–26 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Kamil Kos has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-26 in 44
Arkadiusz
Wrong
gap of 8 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1417 vs Arkadiusz 1420
Arkadiusz
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Arkadiusz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Arkadiusz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Arkadiusz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 2.00 / Arkadiusz 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13135898
Kos2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 29 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Arkadiusz1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 112 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 82 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos3wins
AwayArkadiusz7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos50%2 of 4
AwayArkadiusz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Kos6Arkadiusz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S3Kos4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Arkadiusz6n = 9Arkadiusz took 6 of 9
S5Kos2Arkadiusz4n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosArkadiuszK − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.246.2−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 305 vs 548 / 98349.5%55.8%151 / 305 vs 548 / 983Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.241.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszKos 2.00/Arkadiusz 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos50911711122W. Arkadiusz48118114143
WSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos561111914113W. Arkadiusz5298111682
LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos2779110W. Arkadiusz351111133
LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos4571111882W. Arkadiusz46118511113
LAug 30 · 13:05K. Kos351112661W. Arkadiusz4481411113
LAug 25 · 15:30K. Kos4051112121W. Arkadiusz4711814143
LAug 24 · 20:00K. Kos52111311892W. Arkadiusz49715511113
WAug 22 · 09:35K. Kos50712128113W. Arkadiusz511110101192
WAug 17 · 19:30K. Kos4211911113W. Arkadiusz34811961
LAug 10 · 18:30K. Kos4551371462W. Arkadiusz5611111112113
K. Kos10
WSep 15 · 22:40P. Kedzierski2.4961181192K. Kos1.45119117113WSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 19:00K. Kos1.361012111172P. Kedzierski2.801210137113LSep 15 · 18:00K. Kos1.449816151J. Komorowicz2.50111114173WSep 15 · 14:30K. Kos1.38111112113F. Baranski2.75681461LSep 14 · 19:30L. Buklat—1111113K. Kos—8380WSep 14 · 19:00L. Buklat1.667520K. Kos2.051111113LSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos1.99911711122W. Arkadiusz1.70118114143LSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192WSep 14 · 15:00K. Patryk1.909111112112K. Kos1.76115514133
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 15 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.9512511123K. Patryk1.7510116101WSep 15 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.411111183J. Komorowicz2.6099160WSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk1.76110111492W. Arkadiusz1.90711916113WSep 15 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.3611119113F. Baranski2.80991171LSep 15 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.2591113682P. Kedzierski3.601181111113LSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113WSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos1.99911711122W. Arkadiusz1.70118114143LSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8681111113W. Arkadiusz1.83116851WSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk1.856111171W. Arkadiusz1.8511713113
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