TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137285
Played Sep 15Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12105111161210––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
12105111161210––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 25–28 Kiejda Patryk Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 25 of their 53 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Arkadiusz beat Patryk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.95 / Patryk 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patryk)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #13137285
Arkadiusz1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 48 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Patryk1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 98 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz6wins
AwayPatryk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz66.7%4 of 6
AwayPatryk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz6Patryk4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Arkadiusz7Patryk3n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S3Arkadiusz5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S4Arkadiusz3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5Arkadiusz2Patryk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszPatrykA − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.9+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 987 vs 186 / 33355.8%55.9%551 / 987 vs 186 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykArkadiusz 1.95/Patryk 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz54711916113K. Patryk45110111492
WSep 14 · 14:00W. Arkadiusz4211713113K. Patryk356111171
WSep 8 · 22:30W. Arkadiusz331111113K. Patryk185760
LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz391171381K. Patryk4691115113
LSep 7 · 14:00W. Arkadiusz55121115892K. Patryk581091711113
WSep 2 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz351113113K. Patryk2681170
LSep 1 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz39511112102K. Patryk49119611123
WAug 31 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz43611114113K. Patryk4711991172
LAug 30 · 09:05W. Arkadiusz30101370K. Patryk381215113
WAug 26 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz4311129113K. Patryk378101181
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 15 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.411111183J. Komorowicz2.6099160WSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk1.76110111492W. Arkadiusz1.90711916113WSep 15 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.3611119113F. Baranski2.80991171LSep 15 · 16:30K. Kos2.0081111113W. Arkadiusz1.71114881LSep 15 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.2591113682P. Kedzierski3.601181111113LSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113WSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 18:00K. Kos1.99911711122W. Arkadiusz1.70118114143LSep 14 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8681111113W. Arkadiusz1.83116851WSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk1.856111171W. Arkadiusz1.8511713113
K. Patryk10
LSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk1.76110111492W. Arkadiusz1.90711916113WSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 15:00K. Patryk1.4661111113F. Baranski2.50115881WSep 15 · 14:00K. Patryk1.3641111123J. Komorowicz2.851169101LSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113LSep 14 · 16:30K. Patryk1.68691171L. Buklat2.0511117113LSep 14 · 15:00K. Patryk1.909111112112K. Kos1.76115514133LSep 14 · 14:00K. Patryk1.856111171W. Arkadiusz1.8511713113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Komorowicz—58110K. Patryk—1111133
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