TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105240
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811119711118
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:54 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
119811119711118
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 16–12 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-12 in 28
Komorowicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1347 vs Kedzierski 1293
Komorowicz
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Kedzierski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 40% vs Kedzierski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz +1 · Kedzierski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.66 / Kedzierski 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Komorowicz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13105240
Komorowicz1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 60 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Kedzierski2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz6wins
AwayKedzierski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz100%5 of 5
AwayKedzierski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz5Kedzierski5n = 10split evenly
S2Komorowicz7Kedzierski3n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S3Komorowicz5Kedzierski5n = 10split evenly
S4Komorowicz3Kedzierski6n = 9Kedzierski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczKedzierskiKomorowicz − KedzierskiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 491 vs 168 / 44145.4%38.1%223 / 491 vs 168 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKomorowicz 1.66/Kedzierski 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 18:00J. Komorowicz—991271P. Kedzierski—111110113
WAug 26 · 18:00J. Komorowicz—41112113P. Kedzierski—1171031
WAug 22 · 07:35J. Komorowicz—111015113P. Kedzierski—7121351
LAug 18 · 18:00J. Komorowicz—811861P. Kedzierski—11911113
LAug 15 · 18:05J. Komorowicz—611991P. Kedzierski—11611113
WAug 14 · 19:00J. Komorowicz—1111911113P. Kedzierski—74111382
WAug 4 · 18:30J. Komorowicz—1111113P. Kedzierski—4380
LJul 21 · 22:10J. Komorowicz—61310111P. Kedzierski—111112133
WJul 21 · 16:30J. Komorowicz—111195113P. Kedzierski—29111152
WJun 30 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—11812113P. Kedzierski—5111091
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 9 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.90111111133K. Patryk1.328713111LSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153LSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751WSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113LSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 9 · 16:00M. Szostak1.49111679113P. Kedzierski2.34614111142LSep 9 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.755420K. Patryk1.361111113WSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 20:00K. Kos1.3211911113P. Kedzierski2.90911881WSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113
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