TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134156
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911911118118
Miloslav Ullman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Miloslav Ullman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 3–3 Miloslav Ullman Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ullman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ullman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 2.00 / Ullman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ullman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13134156
Senk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 22 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Ullman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSenk3wins
AwayUllman3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenkn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUllman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk1Ullman5n = 6Ullman took 5 of 6
S2Senk3Ullman3n = 6split evenly
S3Senk3Ullman3n = 6split evenly
S4Senk3Ullman2n = 5Senk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSenkUllmanS − UBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match35.337.5−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkUllmanBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 288 vs 186 / 40152.4%46.4%151 / 288 vs 186 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UllmanSenk 2.00/Ullman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ullman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Senk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 15 · 05:30J. Senk45411811113M. Ullman4211511782
WMar 10 · 08:45J. Senk4071111113M. Ullman35116991
LFeb 28 · 13:50J. Senk30711661M. Ullman351161173
WFeb 28 · 12:45J. Senk4111613113M. Ullman376111191
LJan 10 · 11:45J. Senk399812101M. Ullman43111110113
LJul 31 · 06:45J. Senk178090M. Ullman331111113
J. Senk10
LSep 15 · 08:00R. Pisa1.73311811113J. Senk2.0011811752LSep 15 · 07:00L. Rulc1.83111011113J. Senk1.83512651WSep 15 · 05:30M. Ullman1.6711511782J. Senk2.10411811113LSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191LSep 10 · 07:30M. Kocvara1.611111113J. Senk2.209260LSep 10 · 07:00J. Senk1.916101415122R. Pisa1.8011121213143LSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 9 · 16:54J. Senk1.831111123M. Myler1.8384100WSep 9 · 15:45M. Myler1.8312163952J. Senk1.8310141111113WSep 9 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67711991J. Senk2.1011611113
M. Ullman10
WSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672LSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113LSep 15 · 05:30M. Ullman1.6711511782J. Senk2.10411811113LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:15M. Ullman1.7311148392M. Vyskocil2.009121111113LAug 27 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83713118112V. Grubr1.831111411133
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