TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13127637
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaime Lama
Home
2.27
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111012––––
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
9116111012––––
H2H Jaime Lama 0–3 Jeromy Loffler Jaime Lama has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Loffler
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lama 1441 vs Loffler 1735
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lama 20% vs Loffler 40%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lama 30% vs Loffler 60%
Loffler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lama -3 · Loffler +2
Lama
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLama 2.27 / Loffler 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Loffler)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13127637
Lama2.27
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog24% won 8 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Loffler1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite86% won 31 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLama0wins
AwayLoffler3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLoffler leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLaman = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLoffler100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lama0Loffler3n = 3Loffler took 3 of 3
S2Lama1Loffler2n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S3Lama2Loffler1n = 3Lama took 2 of 3
S4Lama1Loffler2n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLamaLofflerLama − LofflerBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match40.347.7−7.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLamaLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 187 vs 75 / 13540.1%55.6%75 / 187 vs 75 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.835.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerLama 2.27/Loffler 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.1%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMay 18 · 16:00J. Lama4291141172J. Loffler47116118113
LJan 19 · 12:30J. Lama365514121J. Loffler48111112143
LSep 22 · 11:30J. Lama4381311111J. Loffler4811159133
J. Lama10
LSep 14 · 10:30J. Lama1.28115111172S. Happek3.50311813113LSep 14 · 08:30J. Lama—9550S. Almeida—1111113LSep 14 · 06:30J. Lama—8370Y. Su—1111113WMay 22 · 08:00J. Lama1.53911111113S. Happek2.3811911462LMay 21 · 17:00J. Lama10.008590M. Danzer1.031111113LMay 21 · 15:00J. Lama2.109111712102L. Kraus1.671191514123WMay 21 · 14:00J. Lama1.10119911113A. Moreno6.5081111682WMay 21 · 10:30J. Lama1.3391111113D. Zech3.25114791LMay 21 · 08:30J. Lama10.005131181R. Turrini1.0311156113LMay 21 · 06:30J. Lama6.0068100D. Rinderer1.111111123
J. Loffler10
WSep 14 · 12:00J. Loffler3.65511711143E. Mendes1.22117118122WSep 14 · 09:30J. Loffler1.38111011113T. Saltzer2.80512681LSep 14 · 08:00J. Loffler2.5511126952I. Bertrand1.428101111113LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692
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