TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13127642
Played Sep 14Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151012116118––
Tobias Saltzer
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:13 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1151012116118––
H2H Jeromy Loffler 2–1 Tobias Saltzer Tobias Saltzer has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loffler 1708 vs Saltzer 1551
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loffler 40% vs Saltzer 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loffler 50% vs Saltzer 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loffler -3 · Saltzer +1
Loffler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (40%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 1.38 / Saltzer 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Loffler)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13127642
Loffler1.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite86% won 31 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Saltzer2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLoffler2wins
AwaySaltzer1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderLoffler leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loffler2Saltzer1n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S2Loffler2Saltzer1n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S3Loffler2Saltzer1n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricLofflerSaltzerL − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.340.3+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerSaltzerBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 133 vs 39 / 8054.9%48.8%73 / 133 vs 39 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerLoffler 1.38/Saltzer 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 4 · 17:30J. Loffler351311113T. Saltzer2711790
LFeb 26 · 12:30J. Loffler4611711892T. Saltzer51911911113
WApr 8 · 07:00J. Loffler43611411113T. Saltzer4311411982
J. Loffler10
LSep 14 · 08:00J. Loffler2.5511126952I. Bertrand1.428101111113LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770
T. Saltzer10
WSep 14 · 07:30S. Happek2.058111261T. Saltzer1.6811914113LAug 7 · 08:30A. Mino1.3711115113T. Saltzer2.85171181LAug 6 · 17:00K. Fadeev—1211113T. Saltzer—10720LAug 6 · 15:30T. Saltzer—9660K. Zimmermann—1111113WAug 6 · 13:00T. Saltzer—1211113T. Freund—10890LAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272WAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113WAug 6 · 07:30D. Zech1.3011911892T. Saltzer3.20711811113WJul 7 · 10:40K. Fadeev—115651T. Saltzer—91111113LJul 7 · 09:45T. Saltzer3.855116101E. Mendes1.2011711123
Upcoming Matches
J. Loffler
T. Saltzer
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.