TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122245
Played Sep 13Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181171012118––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Anton Molochko at 66.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 91–34 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
91-34 in 125
Molochko
Correct
gap of 57 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1922 vs Kohut 1930
Kohut
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 0% vs Kohut 60%
Kohut
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Kohut 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -5 · Kohut -1
Molochko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Molochko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.44 / Kohut 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Molochko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122245
Molochko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 143 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Kohut2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 113 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko7wins
AwayKohut3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMolochko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko100%4 of 4
AwayKohut50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Molochko7Kohut3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S3Molochko9Kohut1n = 10Molochko took 9 of 10
S4Molochko5Kohut3n = 8Molochko took 5 of 8
S5Molochko2Kohut3n = 5Kohut took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoKohutM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.539.1+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 927 vs 288 / 64858.3%44.4%540 / 927 vs 288 / 648Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.44/Kohut 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko331111113B. Kohut206770
WSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko331111113B. Kohut229670
LSep 8 · 07:35A. Molochko56911118172B. Kohut53117511193
WSep 7 · 13:35A. Molochko516111112113B. Kohut4411471482
WAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko511081111113B. Kohut4412117592
LAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko47513111172B. Kohut521111136113
WAug 25 · 09:05A. Molochko4617711113B. Kohut391511941
WAug 24 · 15:05A. Molochko4391211113B. Kohut341110761
WAug 23 · 23:00A. Molochko4111811113B. Kohut34711791
LAug 21 · 09:25A. Molochko44101111482B. Kohut49128711113
A. Molochko10
LSep 13 · 21:15A. Molochko1.7385111182D. Zeniuk2.00111155113LSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450LSep 11 · 09:25A. Molochko1.2812771172O. Bondarchuk3.501011116113LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113LSep 11 · 06:55A. Molochko1.40651181V. Verbyany2.7511114113WSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770LSep 10 · 17:01N. Danyliuk1.401111113A. Molochko2.752990WSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113WSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113
B. Kohut10
LSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany1.801112113B. Kohut1.9161060WSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113WSep 11 · 09:55B. Kohut3.401112113N. Danyliuk1.3081080LSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.80111011133B. Kohut1.916126111WSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770WSep 10 · 17:24B. Kohut1.6711117113D. Pesternikov2.10791191LSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.258840LSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113
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