TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111464
Played Sep 11Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210118––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 76.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 32–82 Nazar Danyliuk Bohdan Kohut has won 32 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-82 in 114
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 50 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kohut 1907 vs Danyliuk 2136
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kohut 40% vs Danyliuk 100%
Danyliuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kohut 50% vs Danyliuk 90%
Danyliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kohut -1 · Danyliuk +5
Danyliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danyliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 3.40 / Danyliuk 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111464
Kohut3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 116 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 103
Danyliuk1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 165 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it95% 82 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it81% 122 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut1wins
AwayDanyliuk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut25%1 of 4
AwayDanyliuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Kohut0Danyliuk10n = 10Danyliuk took 10 of 10
S3Kohut1Danyliuk9n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S4Kohut0Danyliuk4n = 4Danyliuk took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutDanyliukK − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.336.6−8.3per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 645 vs 593 / 97544.3%60.8%286 / 645 vs 593 / 975Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukKohut 3.40/Danyliuk 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:55B. Kohut—8840N. Danyliuk—1111113
LSep 8 · 09:35B. Kohut—115981N. Danyliuk—81111113
LSep 7 · 12:35B. Kohut—4870N. Danyliuk—1111113
LAug 31 · 01:00B. Kohut—136661N. Danyliuk—111111113
LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut—8690N. Danyliuk—1111113
WAug 24 · 17:05B. Kohut—118119113N. Danyliuk—41121162
LAug 21 · 07:25B. Kohut—8670N. Danyliuk—1111113
LAug 20 · 18:25B. Kohut—13910111N. Danyliuk—111112133
LAug 19 · 23:30B. Kohut—5860N. Danyliuk—1111113
LAug 4 · 05:35B. Kohut—61170N. Danyliuk—1113113
B. Kohut10
WSep 11 · 11:25O. Bondarchuk2.501412771B. Kohut1.50121411113LSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.80111011133B. Kohut1.916126111WSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770WSep 10 · 17:24B. Kohut1.6711117113D. Pesternikov2.10791191LSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.258840LSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113WSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany2.38511119112N. Danyliuk1.53118711133WSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113WSep 11 · 06:25O. Bondarchuk3.754240N. Danyliuk1.251111113WSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123WSep 10 · 17:01N. Danyliuk1.401111113A. Molochko2.752990WSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.258840WSep 10 · 14:55O. Bondarchuk2.7511116482N. Danyliuk1.40791111113WSep 10 · 13:55D. Pesternikov5.50116761N. Danyliuk1.1381111113WSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113LSep 8 · 10:35A. Molochko1.91111014113N. Danyliuk1.804121291
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