TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111509
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611711––––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeBohdan Kohut to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Bohdan Kohut at 55.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 18–29 Bohdan Kohut Dmytro Zeniuk has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kohut
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-29 in 47
Kohut
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 2005 vs Kohut 1897
Zeniuk
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 40% vs Kohut 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 60% vs Kohut 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk -2 · Kohut -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kohut) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.20 / Kohut 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kohut)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111509
Zeniuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 36 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Kohut1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk5wins
AwayKohut5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk75%3 of 4
AwayKohut66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk4Kohut6n = 10Kohut took 6 of 10
S2Zeniuk5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeniuk5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeniuk4Kohut2n = 6Zeniuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukKohutZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.8+2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime371 / 727 vs 285 / 64351%44.3%371 / 727 vs 285 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutZeniuk 2.20/Kohut 1.61
Hit
What we said
54%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:35D. Zeniuk—71111113B. Kohut—117571
WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk—11115113B. Kohut—571121
WAug 30 · 22:00D. Zeniuk—1111133B. Kohut—96110
WAug 25 · 05:35D. Zeniuk—1071311113B. Kohut—121111582
LAug 24 · 14:05D. Zeniuk—11118131B. Kohut—31311153
LAug 21 · 06:25D. Zeniuk—9860B. Kohut—1111113
LAug 20 · 16:25D. Zeniuk—911101162B. Kohut—118129113
WAug 19 · 21:00D. Zeniuk—1313113B. Kohut—111170
LAug 4 · 11:35D. Zeniuk—10911101B. Kohut—12117123
LMar 12 · 23:15D. Zeniuk—9590B. Kohut—1111113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 11 · 07:25D. Zeniuk2.00511481O. Bondarchuk1.7311811113LSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123LSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101WSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113WSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121WSep 7 · 17:05N. Danyliuk1.3641140D. Zeniuk3.001113113LSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko1.57911116113D. Zeniuk2.2511961142
B. Kohut10
LSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany1.80111011133B. Kohut1.916126111LSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770WSep 10 · 17:24B. Kohut1.6711117113D. Pesternikov2.10791191LSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.258840LSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 12:55D. Pesternikov1.8098121172B. Kohut1.911111107113WSep 10 · 11:55O. Bondarchuk2.201379121B. Kohut1.61111111143WSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113LSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121
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