TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111084
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Zeniuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114115––––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Zeniuk above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Anton Molochko at 57.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Zeniuk 26–51 Anton Molochko Dmytro Zeniuk has won 26 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Molochko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-51 in 77
Molochko
Wrong
gap of 25 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeniuk 1986 vs Molochko 1943
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeniuk 20% vs Molochko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeniuk 50% vs Molochko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeniuk +1 · Molochko -3
Molochko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Molochko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeniuk 2.10 / Molochko 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Molochko)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111084
Zeniuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 36 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Molochko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 148 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 103 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeniuk8wins
AwayMolochko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeniuk75%6 of 8
AwayMolochkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeniuk8Molochko2n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S2Zeniuk8Molochko2n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S3Zeniuk7Molochko3n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Zeniuk3Molochko2n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeniukMolochkoZ − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.129.0+8.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeniukMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime372 / 730 vs 545 / 93551%58.3%372 / 730 vs 545 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoZeniuk 2.10/Molochko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.8%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 04:35D. Zeniuk—1111113A. Molochko—7950
LSep 7 · 15:05D. Zeniuk—11961142A. Molochko—911116113
WSep 6 · 21:00D. Zeniuk—101111113A. Molochko—129751
LSep 4 · 06:25D. Zeniuk—137561A. Molochko—111111113
WSep 3 · 17:39D. Zeniuk—811117153A. Molochko—118811132
WSep 3 · 11:55D. Zeniuk—1112113A. Molochko—61090
WAug 31 · 12:05D. Zeniuk—11115113A. Molochko—821131
WAug 30 · 20:00D. Zeniuk—1111113A. Molochko—8870
WAug 25 · 04:35D. Zeniuk—1111113A. Molochko—5130
WAug 24 · 12:05D. Zeniuk—1111113A. Molochko—3540
D. Zeniuk10
WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111LSep 11 · 07:25D. Zeniuk2.00511481O. Bondarchuk1.7311811113LSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123LSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101WSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113WSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113WSep 7 · 19:05D. Zeniuk2.2511115113B. Kohut1.57571121
A. Molochko10
LSep 11 · 09:25A. Molochko1.2812771172O. Bondarchuk3.501011116113LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113LSep 11 · 06:55A. Molochko1.40651181V. Verbyany2.7511114113WSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770LSep 10 · 17:01N. Danyliuk1.401111113A. Molochko2.752990WSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113WSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko1.537950D. Zeniuk2.381111113
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