TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122189
Played Sep 13Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811511115115811
Dmytro Zeniuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Molochko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Dmytro Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Anton Molochko at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 51–27 Dmytro Zeniuk Dmytro Zeniuk has won 27 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Molochko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-27 in 78
Molochko
Wrong
gap of 24 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molochko 1931 vs Zeniuk 1991
Zeniuk
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molochko 20% vs Zeniuk 40%
Zeniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molochko 40% vs Zeniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molochko -4 · Zeniuk -1
Molochko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molochko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 1.73 / Zeniuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Molochko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122189
Molochko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 143 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it96% 63 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Zeniuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 38 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko2wins
AwayZeniuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeniuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZeniuk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S2Molochko2Zeniuk8n = 10Zeniuk took 8 of 10
S3Molochko3Zeniuk7n = 10Zeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Molochko2Zeniuk3n = 5Zeniuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoZeniukM − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.637.1−7.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 926 vs 364 / 71858.3%50.7%540 / 926 vs 364 / 718Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolochkoMolochko 1.73/Zeniuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Molochko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 10:25A. Molochko189450D. Zeniuk331111113
LSep 8 · 04:35A. Molochko217950D. Zeniuk331111113
WSep 7 · 15:05A. Molochko48911116113D. Zeniuk4111961142
LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko33129751D. Zeniuk43101111113
WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko44111111113D. Zeniuk31137561
LSep 3 · 17:39A. Molochko51118811132D. Zeniuk52811117153
LSep 3 · 11:55A. Molochko2561090D. Zeniuk341112113
LAug 31 · 12:05A. Molochko24821131D. Zeniuk3811115113
LAug 30 · 20:00A. Molochko238870D. Zeniuk331111113
LAug 25 · 04:35A. Molochko95130D. Zeniuk331111113
A. Molochko10
LSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450LSep 11 · 09:25A. Molochko1.2812771172O. Bondarchuk3.501011116113LSep 11 · 08:25A. Molochko2.0051191182N. Danyliuk1.73116116113LSep 11 · 06:55A. Molochko1.40651181V. Verbyany2.7511114113WSep 11 · 04:55A. Molochko1.501111113B. Kohut2.506770LSep 10 · 17:01N. Danyliuk1.401111113A. Molochko2.752990WSep 10 · 15:25D. Pesternikov4.501117671A. Molochko1.1761911113WSep 10 · 14:25A. Molochko1.401111113B. Kohut2.759670WSep 10 · 13:25O. Bondarchuk2.63371131A. Molochko1.4411119113LSep 10 · 12:25A. Molochko2.10561171N. Danyliuk1.6711115113
D. Zeniuk10
LSep 13 · 20:15N. Danyliuk1.25124711113D. Zeniuk3.75101111682WSep 11 · 10:25D. Zeniuk2.101111113A. Molochko1.679450WSep 11 · 08:55D. Zeniuk2.0011511133V. Verbyany1.733116111LSep 11 · 07:25D. Zeniuk2.00511481O. Bondarchuk1.7311811113LSep 11 · 05:55D. Zeniuk2.209670B. Kohut1.611111113LSep 11 · 04:25D. Zeniuk3.2577100N. Danyliuk1.331111123LSep 8 · 11:05V. Verbyany1.7311711123D. Zeniuk2.008117101WSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:35N. Danyliuk1.301111113D. Zeniuk3.405350WSep 8 · 06:35B. Kohut1.73117571D. Zeniuk2.0071111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Molochko
Sep 13 · 22:15A. Molochko1.44B. Kohut2.63—Sep 13 · 23:45A. Molochko1.44V. Verbyany2.63—Sep 14 · 24:45A. Molochko2.10N. Danyliuk1.67—Sep 14 · 11:55A. Molochko1.44V. Verbyany2.63—Sep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko1.91N. Danyliuk1.80—Sep 14 · 14:55A. Molochko1.73D. Zeniuk2.00—Sep 14 · 16:25A. Molochko1.44B. Kohut2.63—
D. Zeniuk
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