TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120967
Played Sep 13Finished
Aleksander Cichocki
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611118118––
Zbigniew Sobkow
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeAleksander Cichocki to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Cichocki above · Zbigniew Sobkow below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Aleksander Cichocki at 69.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Cichocki 4–3 Zbigniew Sobkow Zbigniew Sobkow has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cichocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cichocki 1578 vs Sobkow 1243
Cichocki
Correct
both rated, 335 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cichocki 60% vs Sobkow 20%
Cichocki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cichocki 80% vs Sobkow 20%
Cichocki
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cichocki +2 · Sobkow +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Cichocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCichocki 1.40 / Sobkow 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Cichocki)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13120967
Cichocki1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 84 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it91% 63 of 69
Sobkow2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 10 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeCichocki4wins
AwaySobkow3wins
6 of 7 to a deciderCichocki leads 4–3, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCichocki100%3 of 3
AwaySobkow75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cichocki3Sobkow4n = 7Sobkow took 4 of 7
S2Cichocki2Sobkow5n = 7Sobkow took 5 of 7
S3Cichocki4Sobkow3n = 7Cichocki took 4 of 7
S4Cichocki3Sobkow3n = 6split evenly
S5Cichocki4Sobkow2n = 6Cichocki took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home457%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricCichockiSobkowC − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match44.644.4+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCichockiSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 191 vs 52 / 10963.9%47.7%122 / 191 vs 52 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CichockiCichocki 1.40/Sobkow 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Cichocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cichocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 04:10A. Cichocki41511311113Z. Sobkow4211611952
LSep 12 · 11:00A. Cichocki47510111382Z. Sobkow501112511113
WSep 12 · 04:55A. Cichocki551741112113Z. Sobkow51151191422
WAug 23 · 10:35A. Cichocki501110117113Z. Sobkow3861241152
LAug 23 · 03:00A. Cichocki187560Z. Sobkow331111113
LAug 22 · 09:00A. Cichocki4881111992Z. Sobkow47117711113
WAug 22 · 04:30A. Cichocki53138911123Z. Sobkow501111117102
A. Cichocki10
WSep 13 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.50101411113M. Lach2.501212451WSep 13 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.611112113J. Wieczerzak2.2061080LSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941LSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880WSep 13 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.571711113M. Lach2.2515740WSep 13 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.671512116113J. Wieczerzak2.10171091182WSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113WSep 13 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.57101111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.25123541WSep 12 · 14:20A. Cichocki1.3351111113M. Paszkiewicz3.25115991
Z. Sobkow10
WSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213LSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113LSep 13 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.1011115332J. Wieczerzak1.67991111113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lach1.441111123Z. Sobkow2.6347100LSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.25128981W. Wojtaszczyk1.57101111113WSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751LSep 13 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.381177111M. Lach1.5391111133LSep 13 · 04:10Z. Sobkow2.7511611952A. Cichocki1.40511311113LSep 13 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.1010870J. Wieczerzak1.671211113LSep 12 · 14:40W. Urban1.801112117113Z. Sobkow1.9161461182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.