TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117007
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117411119––
Yan Krol
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Yan Krol below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 56.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 93–76 Yan Krol Yan Krol has won 76 of their 169 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gomilko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
93-76 in 169
Gomilko
Correct
gap of 17 in 169, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1622 vs Krol 1620
Gomilko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 60% vs Krol 80%
Krol
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 60% vs Krol 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko +1 · Krol +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krol form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.73 / Krol 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Gomilko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13117007
Gomilko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 113 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Krol2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back30% 27 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko6wins
AwayKrol4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGomilko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko75%3 of 4
AwayKrol50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko4Krol6n = 10Krol took 6 of 10
S2Gomilko6Krol4n = 10Gomilko took 6 of 10
S3Gomilko5Krol5n = 10split evenly
S4Gomilko3Krol4n = 7Krol took 4 of 7
S5Gomilko3Krol0n = 3Gomilko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoKrolG − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.50.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoKrolBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 570 vs 299 / 58856.7%50.9%323 / 570 vs 299 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.73/Krol 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gomilko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 22:35O. Gomilko569141110123Y. Krol541112912102
LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko3510114101Y. Krol4412911123
LSep 4 · 22:35O. Gomilko2561090Y. Krol341112113
WAug 29 · 21:35O. Gomilko331111113Y. Krol259970
WAug 28 · 22:35O. Gomilko331111113Y. Krol248790
WAug 22 · 21:35O. Gomilko4011711113Y. Krol26711441
LAug 21 · 22:35O. Gomilko351177101Y. Krol4281111123
WAug 16 · 01:35O. Gomilko515131011123Y. Krol471111123102
LAug 14 · 22:35O. Gomilko341071161Y. Krol3912115113
WAug 8 · 23:05O. Gomilko43411512113Y. Krol50119111092
O. Gomilko10
WSep 13 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.8311911113M. Marchuk1.83811151LSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113WSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770LSep 12 · 04:05V. Lobas1.831111113O. Gomilko1.839980WSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771LSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 22:35Y. Krol2.101112912102O. Gomilko1.679141110123WSep 11 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.2511101051O. Gomilko1.5781212113WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123
Y. Krol10
WSep 13 · 24:05V. Lobas1.671110481Y. Krol2.1061211113LSep 12 · 23:05Y. Krol1.801161061M. Marchuk1.9161112113WSep 12 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.108690Y. Krol1.671111113WSep 12 · 03:05Y. Krol1.6711614113K. Hrynenko2.106111281WSep 12 · 01:35Y. Krol2.631211133D. Derevynskyi1.44105110LSep 12 · 24:05Y. Krol2.1041111792V. Lobas1.67118311113LSep 11 · 22:35Y. Krol2.101112912102O. Gomilko1.679141110123WSep 11 · 21:05Y. Krol1.301111153O. Melashenko3.4079130WSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123
Upcoming Matches
O. Gomilko
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Y. Krol
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