TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116820
Played Sep 12Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119115––––
Roman Boklah
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 56 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 82.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 56–16 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 16 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Serdiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-16 in 72
Serdiuk
Correct
gap of 40 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1224 vs Boklah 1196
Serdiuk
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 40% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 40% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk -2 · Boklah -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Serdiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.25 / Boklah 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Serdiuk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116820
Serdiuk1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 81 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Boklah3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 55 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back13% 17 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk100%8 of 8
AwayBoklahn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk8Boklah2n = 10Serdiuk took 8 of 10
S2Serdiuk7Boklah3n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S3Serdiuk3Boklah7n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S4Serdiuk6Boklah2n = 8Serdiuk took 6 of 8
S5Serdiuk2Boklah1n = 3Serdiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukBoklahS − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.635.6+6.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 354 vs 260 / 61765.8%42.1%233 / 354 vs 260 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukSerdiuk 1.25/Boklah 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Serdiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk—81231182R. Boklah—1110113113
WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk—11119113R. Boklah—471151
WAug 29 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—11811113R. Boklah—311991
WAug 23 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—11116113R. Boklah—771131
WAug 22 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—131139113R. Boklah—119111132
WAug 8 · 07:00I. Serdiuk—111011113R. Boklah—812671
WAug 1 · 08:00I. Serdiuk—1515113R. Boklah—131340
LJul 26 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—85100R. Boklah—1111123
WJul 25 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—111111113R. Boklah—551361
WJul 22 · 12:30I. Serdiuk—121199133R. Boklah—1091111112
I. Serdiuk10
LSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092LSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271WSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070LSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123
R. Boklah10
LSep 12 · 10:00R. Boklah2.254870I. Torhachov1.571111113WSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113WSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060WSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113
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