TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116633
Played Sep 12Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611119––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeMarcin Stepien to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119118611119––
H2H Szymon Radlo 37–43 Marcin Stepien Szymon Radlo has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Stepien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-43 in 80
Stepien
Wrong
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Radlo 1567 vs Stepien 1615
Stepien
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radlo 20% vs Stepien 40%
Stepien
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radlo 40% vs Stepien 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radlo -2 · Stepien +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stepien) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 2.25 / Stepien 1.54
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Stepien)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13116633
Radlo2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 181 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Stepien1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 193 of 337
Up 2–0, closes it94% 135 of 144
Up 1–0, closes it80% 158 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo7wins
AwayStepien3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo87.5%7 of 8
AwayStepienn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo8Stepien2n = 10Radlo took 8 of 10
S2Radlo4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S3Radlo3Stepien7n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S4Radlo4Stepien3n = 7Radlo took 4 of 7
S5Radlo3Stepien0n = 3Radlo took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloStepienR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.640.7−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 729 vs 645 / 117150.5%55.1%368 / 729 vs 645 / 1171Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienRadlo 2.25/Stepien 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.4%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:00S. Radlo—11116113M. Stepien—981191
LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo—8640M. Stepien—1111113
WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo—1311113M. Stepien—11890
LSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo—9570M. Stepien—1111113
WSep 4 · 05:00S. Radlo—11911123M. Stepien—9116101
WAug 31 · 13:00S. Radlo—1111129133M. Stepien—781411112
WAug 31 · 07:30S. Radlo—11148113M. Stepien—8121141
WAug 30 · 23:15S. Radlo—1110119113M. Stepien—91281192
LAug 30 · 18:05S. Radlo—144771M. Stepien—121111113
WAug 27 · 13:40S. Radlo—1113215153M. Stepien—8151113132
S. Radlo10
LSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 08:30M. Galus1.7414912113S. Radlo1.9512111041LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113WSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111WSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143
M. Stepien10
WSep 10 · 12:40S. Radlo2.308640M. Stepien1.551111113WSep 10 · 11:30M. Galus1.66811471M. Stepien2.0511911113LSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.551381112123M. Stepien1.411111814102LSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480LSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632LSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123LSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.