TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077232
Played Sep 5Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911118115––
Maciej Domin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Domin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Maciej Domin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Maciej Domin at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 7–2 Maciej Domin Maciej Domin has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Adamiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Adamiak
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1715 vs Domin 1829
Domin
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Domin 60%
Domin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 20% vs Domin 60%
Domin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak +1 · Domin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamiak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Domin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 1.61 / Domin 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Adamiak)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13077232
Adamiak1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 77 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 58 of 69
Domin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back30% 31 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdamiak7wins
AwayDomin2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderAdamiak leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak85.7%6 of 7
AwayDominn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak7Domin2n = 9Adamiak took 7 of 9
S2Adamiak5Domin4n = 9Adamiak took 5 of 9
S3Adamiak7Domin2n = 9Adamiak took 7 of 9
S4Adamiak3Domin3n = 6split evenly
S5Adamiak2Domin1n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamiakDominA − DBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.732.8+5.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakDominBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 760 vs 485 / 92843.3%52.3%329 / 760 vs 485 / 928Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamiakAdamiak 1.61/Domin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Adamiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 27 · 12:30G. Adamiak—118651M. Domin—71111113
LApr 19 · 12:25G. Adamiak—91111672M. Domin—116111113
WApr 18 · 15:35G. Adamiak—1011611113M. Domin—12711492
WJan 31 · 09:00G. Adamiak—11211113M. Domin—611491
WJan 17 · 16:35G. Adamiak—1111113M. Domin—8560
WDec 24 · 05:35G. Adamiak—11811113M. Domin—311791
WDec 23 · 13:45G. Adamiak—1211113M. Domin—10780
WDec 23 · 07:35G. Adamiak—118117113M. Domin—71151192
WJul 2 · 12:20G. Adamiak—1112113M. Domin—71080
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841
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