TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077179
Played Sep 5Finished
Maciej Domin
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131311911––
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Adamiak to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Domin above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 87 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Adamiak at 54.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Domin 2–8 Grzegorz Adamiak Maciej Domin has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Adamiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Adamiak
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Domin 1813 vs Adamiak 1732
Domin
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Domin 40% vs Adamiak 60%
Adamiak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Domin 60% vs Adamiak 30%
Domin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Domin -1 · Adamiak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adamiak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDomin 2.20 / Adamiak 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Adamiak)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13077179
Domin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back30% 31 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Adamiak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 77 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it84% 58 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDomin2wins
AwayAdamiak8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamiak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDominn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamiak87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Domin2Adamiak8n = 10Adamiak took 8 of 10
S2Domin5Adamiak5n = 10split evenly
S3Domin2Adamiak8n = 10Adamiak took 8 of 10
S4Domin3Adamiak4n = 7Adamiak took 4 of 7
S5Domin1Adamiak2n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDominAdamiakD − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.639.0−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDominAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 929 vs 330 / 76152.2%43.4%485 / 929 vs 330 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamiakDomin 2.20/Adamiak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Adamiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:45M. Domin—711851G. Adamiak—11911113
WJul 27 · 12:30M. Domin—71111113G. Adamiak—118651
WApr 19 · 12:25M. Domin—116111113G. Adamiak—91111672
LApr 18 · 15:35M. Domin—12711492G. Adamiak—1011611113
LJan 31 · 09:00M. Domin—611491G. Adamiak—11211113
LJan 17 · 16:35M. Domin—8560G. Adamiak—1111113
LDec 24 · 05:35M. Domin—311791G. Adamiak—11811113
LDec 23 · 13:45M. Domin—10780G. Adamiak—1211113
LDec 23 · 07:35M. Domin—71151192G. Adamiak—118117113
LJul 2 · 12:20M. Domin—71080G. Adamiak—1112113
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841
G. Adamiak10
WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113WSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113
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