TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076843
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1185111210119––
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 4–15 Marcel Pikous Martin Sychra has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pikous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-15 in 19
Pikous
Wrong
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1702 vs Pikous 1585
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Pikous 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 70% vs Pikous 20%
Sychra
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +1 · Pikous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pikous) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.38 / Pikous 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pikous)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13076843
Sychra2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 179 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back26% 48 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 107
Pikous1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 112 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra3wins
AwayPikous7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra33.3%2 of 6
AwayPikous75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra6Pikous4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S2Sychra2Pikous8n = 10Pikous took 8 of 10
S3Sychra3Pikous7n = 10Pikous took 7 of 10
S4Sychra3Pikous4n = 7Pikous took 4 of 7
S5Sychra1Pikous2n = 3Pikous took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraPikousS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.8−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1517 vs 366 / 69352.9%52.8%803 / 1517 vs 366 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousSychra 2.38/Pikous 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 24:00M. Sychra—12911892M. Pikous—1011911113
LAug 3 · 01:00M. Sychra—119111132M. Pikous—711136113
WJul 15 · 18:30M. Sychra—111197113M. Pikous—99111192
WJul 6 · 01:00M. Sychra—81111113M. Pikous—115781
WJun 26 · 01:30M. Sychra—11511133M. Pikous—9117111
LJun 24 · 03:00M. Sychra—8640M. Pikous—1111113
LJun 23 · 23:30M. Sychra—8660M. Pikous—1111113
LJun 19 · 03:00M. Sychra—113861M. Pikous—61111113
LJun 19 · 02:30M. Sychra—197100M. Pikous—2111123
LJun 9 · 02:30M. Sychra—114871M. Pikous—81111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113
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