TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053342
Played Sep 1Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
51111131181012––
Miroslav Sklensky
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Spychala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
51111131181012––
H2H Adrian Spychala 35–70 Miroslav Sklensky Adrian Spychala has won 35 of their 105 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sklensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-70 in 105
Sklensky
Correct
gap of 35 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1739 vs Sklensky 1757
Sklensky
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 60% vs Sklensky 80%
Sklensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 60% vs Sklensky 80%
Sklensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala +1 · Sklensky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sklensky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sklensky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 2.25 / Sklensky 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Sklensky)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13053342
Spychala2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 132 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back13% 37 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 164
Sklensky1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 226 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it95% 122 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpychala5wins
AwaySklensky5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychala100%4 of 4
AwaySklensky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala4Sklensky6n = 10Sklensky took 6 of 10
S2Spychala5Sklensky5n = 10split evenly
S3Spychala3Sklensky7n = 10Sklensky took 7 of 10
S4Spychala3Sklensky3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpychalaSklenskySpychala − SklenskyBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.5−1.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaSklenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1546 vs 682 / 114537.2%59.6%575 / 1546 vs 682 / 1145Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SklenskySpychala 2.25/Sklensky 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Sklensky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sklensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 12:10A. Spychala—113611113M. Sklensky—61111552
LJul 27 · 19:40A. Spychala—771161M. Sklensky—11114113
WJul 27 · 10:05A. Spychala—11119113M. Sklensky—881161
WMay 29 · 14:25A. Spychala—10111112113M. Sklensky—12881482
WMay 13 · 14:25A. Spychala—111111113M. Sklensky—781391
LMay 13 · 03:30A. Spychala—8750M. Sklensky—1111113
LMay 6 · 04:15A. Spychala—61140M. Sklensky—1113113
LApr 21 · 12:45A. Spychala—57150M. Sklensky—1111173
WApr 13 · 09:05A. Spychala—1111113M. Sklensky—9980
LApr 13 · 08:20A. Spychala—12116121M. Sklensky—14811143
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131
M. Sklensky10
WSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171WSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351WSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 19:15M. Olbrycht3.259570M. Sklensky1.331111113LSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:00A. Spychala2.2571111113M. Sklensky1.57117951
Upcoming Matches
A. Spychala
Nothing scheduled
M. Sklensky1 of 4 neutral
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