TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031484
Played Aug 28Finished
Oleh Efimov
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210211711119811
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Efimov above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 76.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Efimov 0–1 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Oleh Efimov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimov 843 vs Mykhalchenko 1119
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 276 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimov 0% vs Mykhalchenko 100%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimov 10% vs Mykhalchenko 70%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimov -5 · Mykhalchenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mykhalchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimov 2.63 / Mykhalchenko 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031484
Efimov2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 5 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Mykhalchenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeEfimov0wins
AwayMykhalchenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricEfimovMykhalchenkoE − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.052.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimovMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 43 vs 129 / 23720.9%54.4%9 / 43 vs 129 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoEfimov 2.63/Mykhalchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 28 · 15:00O. Efimov—12271182V. Mykhalchenko—1011119113
O. Efimov10
LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860LAug 28 · 13:30O. Efimov1.61101121152S. Kuzko2.201211105113LAug 28 · 12:00O. Efimov3.007970D. Kunchurov1.361111113LJun 2 · 11:30O. Efimov3.258230O. Ovsiienko1.331111113LJun 2 · 09:30S. Semenets1.36911119113O. Efimov3.0011341182LJun 2 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.2561112113O. Efimov3.751181071LJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov3.25126641D. Kunchurov1.33101111113LJun 2 · 05:30O. Ponomarenko1.1712611113O. Efimov4.501011861LApr 23 · 16:40O. Miklukha1.1711119113O. Efimov4.50691191
V. Mykhalchenko10
WSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102LSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.361351611113M. Tkalich3.00111118782WSep 6 · 07:35M. Zaiats2.208611131V. Mykhalchenko1.6111118153WSep 6 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.141111113K. Tsoi5.003580WSep 5 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko1.4461111113M. Tkalich2.63115551WSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 07:30M. Zaiats2.389161511112V. Mykhalchenko1.531118138133LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113
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